The pseudonymous trader in 2018 called the cryptocurrency’s bottoming price around $3,000 and the subsequent surge.
In October of last year, Filb Filb depicted in a TradingView chart that he expects BTC to surge towards $10,000, then crash to $6,400 to find a macro bottom. Bitcoin did exactly that, moving almost exactly as the forecast on his chart, down to the dates. It was a bit eerie.
The trader just issued his latest analysis, showing optimism on Bitcoin’s price trend heading into 2020.
Related Reading: Key Google Metric: Bitcoin May Explode Into $100,000 Parabolic Rally
Bitcoin to Hit $12,500 By May?
In Filb’s latest edition of his Decentrader newsletter, he wrote that with the latest price action in mind — BTC bouncing off the $6,000s and rallying to the $8,000s — he is bullish heading into the block reward reduction in May of this year:
“Overall, Bitcoin is exactly where [I] anticipated; slowly grinding up towards previous resistance… I’m very much of the opinion that Bitcoin will reach to at least $12,500 level before the halving.”
Should Bitcoin hit at least $12,500 prior to the halving, it will need to rally by nearly 50% from the current price of $8,450.
As to why $12,500 makes sense, he noted that that is the “top target” for a bullish inverse head and shoulders chart that is forming on a medium-term basis for Bitcoin.
The eerily accurate analyst added that those calling for BTC to fall back to the $5,000s are fearmongering, saying he sees no case for such prices on the macro charts.
Not Only Analyst Expecting Pre-Halving Boom
It isn’t only Filb Filb who thinks that Bitcoin will experience strong price action around the block reward halving.
In the four months prior to the first halving in 2012, the price of BTC rallied dozens of percent higher from $10 to around $14 by the time of the event; and in the four months prior to the second halving in 2016, the price of Bitcoin went effectively parabolic, running from $432 to $700.
Of course, this is a sample size of two, but the premise of BTC rallying into each halving makes sense.
Bitcoin is about 120 days away from the halving.
What was price action like 120 days prior to the first two halvings?
Whether you believe its priced in or not, if past is prologue – volatility may be expected. pic.twitter.com/7peG6Ir0m4
— Nunya Bizniz (@Pladizow) January 10, 2020
This simple analysis suggests BTC will surge strongly into the halving, just as Filb Filb expects.
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