Bearish Sell Signal Triggers As Bitcoin Falls Below $39,000

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

2 mins read

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Bitcoin price is struggling to stay above $39,000 per coin and as it sinks lower, an ominous bearish technical signal is triggering.

Bitcoin Selloff Prompts Possible Change In Momentum

Selling pressure driven by FTX’s estate dumping nearly $1 billion in Grayscale GBTC shares caused Bitcoin price to lose the $39,000 level today, currently trading around $38,900 at the time of this writing.

The selloff hasn’t fallen deep enough for a convincing breakdown of the key psychological level, however, a bearish crossover of a momentum technical tool could trigger additional downward price action.

The recent drop has caused the weekly LMACD to cross bearish. A bearish crossover is a sell signal that warns of a change in medium-term momentum.

Is BTC poised to double soon? | BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Will The LMACD Confirm The Bearish Crossover?

The bearish crossover on the weekly LMACD isn’t confirmed until the weekly candlestick closes. The LMACD is the logarithmic version of the MACD indicator – which stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence.

When the tool’s lines converge and cross, it produces a signal to take action. However, if the crossover doesn’t confirm and the two lines diverge instead, it tells a trader to stay in a position. In this case, Bitcoin would stay in the buy position until a bearish crossover appears later down the line.

Such bearish crossovers have the potential to stop a bull rally in its tracks. The LMACD crossed bearish around the 2018 peak, the 2019 rally, and at both 2021 double tops. It is worth noting, however, that BTCUSD crossed bearish in 2023, and in late 2020, but ultimately crossed back bullish and resumed a bull run. Another such scenario is possible, so even if the technical indicator crosses bearish, it doesn’t necessarily mean the end of upside for Bitcoin.

Tony is the author of the CoinChartist (VIP) newsletter. Sign up for free. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC & @coinchartist_io on Twitter. Or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice. Featured image from Shutterstock, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
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In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

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In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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