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Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning

Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Exchange Whale Ratio Surges

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
1 year ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin Whale

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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange whale ratio has been surging recently, a sign that may be bearish for the cryptocurrency’s price.

Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio (72-Hour MA) Has Observed A Rise Recently

As an analyst in a CryptoQuant post pointed out, the metric’s value is now close to the risk area. The “exchange whale ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the sum of the top ten Bitcoin transactions to exchanges and the total exchange inflows.

The most significant transfers to exchanges generally come from the whales, so the ratio’s value tells us what part of the total inflows is being contributed by these humongous holders.

Whales make up a large part of the inflows when the indicator’s value is high. Since one of the main reasons investors use exchanges is for selling purposes, this value can suggest the whales are currently doing a massive dump. Naturally, the BTC price could see a bearish effect from such selling.

On the other hand, the low-value metric implies whales are making up a relatively healthy part of the inflow activity right now. Depending on other factors, such a trend could be neutral or bullish for the asset’s value.

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Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 72-hour moving average (MA) Bitcoin exchange whale ratio over the last few weeks:

Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio

The 72-hour MA value of the metric seems to have been elevated in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant

The above graph shows that the 72-hour MA Bitcoin exchange whale ratio has recently climbed. Following this rise, the indicator has now hit a value just below the 0.85 level.

The 0.85 level (at which 85% of the inflows are coming from the whales) has historically held significance for the metric; above it, BTC enters a risk zone. When the indicator enters this area, selling from the whales has usually led to price declines in the past.

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A recent example occurred earlier in the month and is also visible in the chart. Back then, the 72-hour MA exchange whale ratio only touched this line, and the BTC price followed up by forming a local top before seeing some drawdown soon after.

Interestingly, the indicator’s value surged just before the latest leg up in the rally, briefly taking BTC to the $25,000 level. However, the metric’s value plunged just as the move started, suggesting that the whales’ reduced the selling pressure and may have allowed the price to move upwards and dump from higher.

Now it remains to be seen if the indicator will cross the level in the coming days and cause a decline in the price or if the surge will stop like the instance above, letting the rally continue in the process instead.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $23,900, down 4% in the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

It looks like BTC has seen some decline in the last two days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Thomas Lipke on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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