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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Exchanges Observe Huge Inflow From Long-Term Holders

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
1 year ago
3 mins read

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On-chain data shows exchanges have received a huge Bitcoin inflow spike from long-term holders, a sign that could be bearish for the price of the crypto.

Investors Holding Bitcoin Since 12 Months To 18 Months Ago Transfer A Huge Amount To Exchanges

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, some long-term investors holding on to their coins since between a year to a year and a half recently sent big inflows to exchanges.

The relevant indicator here is the “exchange inflow,” which measures the total amount of Bitcoin moving to centralized exchange wallets.

When the value of this indicator shows a large spike, it means investors have just deposited a lot of coins to exchanges. Such a trend is usually bearish for the price of the crypto as holders usually transfer to exchanges for selling purposes.

On the other hand, small values of the metric may show normal market behavior and that there isn’t largescale dumping going on at the moment.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Volume Shows “Buy” Signal As BTC Gears Up For Rally

A modified version of the Bitcoin exchange inflow shows only transfers from those investors who had been holding on their coins since 12 months to 18 months ago. Here is the chart for it:

Bitcoin Exchange Inflow

Looks like a large amount of coins were deposited by these long-term holders recently | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the value of the indicator observed a huge spike just recently. This means that long-term holders within the age range of 12 to 18 months transferred a big number of coins to exchanges, possibly for selling them.

In the chart, the quant has also marked the previous times this kind of trend took place. It looks like shortly following such a spike, the price has always observed a decline.

Related Reading |Bitcoin Closes 1st Green Month After 3 Reds, What History Says May Happen

Since a spike has also occurred recently, the price of Bitcoin may be in for a similar plunge soon, if the pattern continues to hold.

However, in certain cases, it’s also possible the value of the coin doesn’t see any effects from this. An example of such a situation would be if an outflow of similar or larger amount took place soon.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $43.3k, up 23% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 17% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Following the sharp surge a few days back, the price of Bitcoin seems to have moved sideways | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
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How Our News is Made

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