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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Bottoms: The Psychology Of Bear Markets

Best Owie
Best Owie
1 year ago
3 mins read
bitcoin bear

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The chase for the bitcoin bottom is still on since the digital asset fell below its $20,000 price level. Given that the bear market has not been long in the making, it stands to reason that the bull market isn’t here just yet. However, being able to pinpoint when the cryptocurrency has reached as low as it will go can help make smart investment choices and the previous bear trends can shine a light to how it might play out.

Previous Bitcoin Bear Markets

The most recent bitcoin bear markets point towards some important trends that may occur before a bitcoin bottom is established. The 2018 bear market and 2014 bear runs helped to shine a light on what to keep an eye on as the crypto winter rages on.

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One of the very first things to look at is how long the previous bear markets had actually lasted. In the last two bears, it seems that the amount of days that passes before the market bottoms out is getting lower. 2014 saw a total of 407 days before a bitcoin bottom was established, while it was only 364 days in the 2018 bear market. Given this, it is possible to expect that the duration before the market bottom might be lower this time around but it also shows that the market is likely not there yet.

Bitcoin bear market

BTC bear market trends | Source: Arcane Research 

To hit such figures, the market would need to reach December, which is likely when bitcoin would begin to reach its bottom. If history repeats itself, then what would follow would be a stretched-out period of unusually low volatility, which is when investors are presented with the best opportunity to purchase coins.

Another thing is the performance of the on-chain indicators as they are usually low around when bitcoin reaches its bottom. As reported by Bitcoinist, these on-chain metrics hit a long-term bottom, which could help point towards a bottom, or at least an approach to a bottom. The same was the case during the previous bear markets and the current levels align with those same levels.

Bitcoin price chart from TradingView.com

BTC trending at $19,200 | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Low volatility in bitcoin also points toward this. For example, back in 2014, the low volatility range lasted for 280 days, while 2018’s lasted for 130 days. It also follows the trend of a decline in the number of days required to reach a bottom. The current BTC low volatility has now lasted for around 121 days.

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Now, these metrics is not an exact science since they are not the only factors that go into determining the end of a bear and the beginning of a bull market. The most important thing is perhaps the most unpredictable one, which is human sentiment. In the end, bitcoin’s price will respond to the supply and demand balance in the market. 

Featured image from Analytics Insight, charts from Arcane Research and TradingView.com

Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet…

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Best Owie
Best Owie

Best Owie

Best Owie is a seasoned managing editor with a wealth of experience currently serving as the Managing Editor at NewsBTC. Best is a highly skilled professional with a track record of producing engaging and informative content. With a keen eye for detail and a passion for accuracy, Best is committed to ensuring that each article published meets the highest standards of quality.

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Best has over six years of experience in the crypto industry and has overseen the creation and publishing of thousands of articles over the years. Best is always abreast of everything that is going on in the crypto industry in order to create and curate the most relevant content for readers. This shines through in Best’s publications, which are always clear and concise, enabling easy reading and understanding for all.

Best is also an avid learner and advocate for new technology. This has seen Best dive into topics in areas such as decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), Layer 2 blockchains, etc. In addition to this, Best is a vocal member of the crypto community across various social media platforms such as X and Reddit. Best’s work garners tens of thousands of readers monthly, who rely on the information in these publications to keep up-to-date with everything happening in the crypto community.

Best’s articles explore breaking news, intricate systems such as yield farming, liquidity pools, and other decentralized finance (DeFi) systems. This is because Best understands the importance of information to gaining financial freedom and believes that everyone should have access to this information.

Best also believes in leveraging the blockchain for philanthropy to create the most positive social impact. This involves work with charitable organizations focused on financial literacy and education. With each article, Best lends a voice to important issues such as a more financially inclusive future, transparent systems for growth and development, and technology that is not self-serving but one that serves all of humanity.

When not curating engaging content, Best can be found reading a book with a cup of hot chocolate, enjoying a Netflix series, or exploring the outdoors with Green - the world’s most quiet and well-behaved Husky. Best’s interests also span other industries such as art, finance, and security, attending seminars and conferences in not just the crypto industry but other industries as well.

As an animal lover, Best is also involved with charities for animals, local shelters, and rescues. Best is also involved in local events that promote inclusivity, such as being a prominent member of hiking clubs and a cycling club, as well as being a part of a very happy group of animal lovers.

Best is a true professional in every sense of the word, with an exceptional dedication to producing high-quality work. This shines through in Best's work on and off the clock. These include advocating for inclusive crypto education for all, the impact of financial illiteracy, and the benefits of adopting new technologies such as cryptocurrencies. Best’s prolific career in the media industry is a testament of how hard work and dedication pays.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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