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Home Cryptocurrency news Bitcoin

Five Signs Bitcoin Dominance Has Bottomed: Are Altcoins Headed To Zero?

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
5 months ago
in Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency news, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, Technical analysis
Reading Time: 4min read
bitcoin dominance altcoins zero

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Bitcoin is up well over 50% year to date, but altcoins have beaten out the first-ever cryptocurrency in 2020. Etheruem, for example, has tripled compared to the number one cryptocurrency, and several others hare outperformed by even more.

But there are five, powerful high timeframe signals that could be suggesting that BTC dominance has bottomed, and altcoins are in for annihilation in the days ahead.

Bitcoin Dominance Signals Bottom Is In, Are Altcoins Doomed?

It is difficult to imagine, given just how strong altcoins have been performing in 2020. On the heels of the DeFi explosion, nearly all altcoins are up significantly year-to-date. The recent rally has brought the total crypto market cap back to pre-bear market levels.

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The lower down the top 100 list of crypto assets, the gains get even more sizable, showing just how even a little capital flowing into illiquid crypto assets can move the needle.

It has got outsiders searching feverishly on Google to find out how to “buy crypto” and crypto insiders are speculating on worthless coins once again, just like the bubble of 2017.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Rally, Altcoin Season Take Crypto Market Recovery To Pre-Bear Market Levels

But just like that bubble, after altcoins surged against Bitcoin, BTC dominance bottomed, things reversed, and alts plummeted. And just like 2019, Bitcoin rising higher also has the side effect of crushing alts.

BTC dominance, however, may imply that regardless of if Bitcoin moves up or down, things could soon get back for altcoins. Here are five prominent, high timeframe signals that suggest alt season is about to end, possibly for good.

From Hero To Zero: Five Ominous Signals That Alt Season Has Ended

Markets are cyclical, and as Bitcoin has shown, crypto is no different. And because Bitcoin recovered in the past and went on to new highs, investors are watching altcoins to do the same thing.

But what if there’s no need for altcoins at all, and as several top industry analysts claim, they will all eventually go to zero? Zero is improbable, however, if BTC dominance has bottomed at 60%, then alts are in for a rough time.

bitcoin dominance btc.d head and shoulders

BTC.D Inverse Head and Shoulders Throwback, Bull Flag Formation | Source: TradingView

The price action on BTC.D charts from 2017 through 2019, formed what appears to be a massive inverse head and shoulders – a bottom reversal pattern. After an inial impulse after breaking through resistance at 60% dominance, BTC.D peaked at 73%. Since then, its been on a steady downtrend, now resting on that former resistance turned support.

Related Reading | This Unique Perspective Makes It Clear Bitcoin Cycles Are Lengthening

Retests of this kind aren’t uncommon. Confirming this resistance as support would send a signal to traders that its time to move higher. It also is equally common for inverse head and shoulders patterns, to return to the breakout for a “throwback.” The recent downtrend could be the throwback before the real move higher begins.

bitcoin dominance btc.d stochastic

BTC.D Weekly Stochastic | Source: TradingView

Such a move would all but eliminate altcoins, taking BTC.D closer to 90% dominance against the rest of the market. Coinciding with the potential throwback, confirming the resistance flip to support, is the weekly BTC.D stochastic reaching a point that in the past has signaled a bottom.

bitcoin dominance btc.d bollinger bands

BTC.D Weekly Bollinger Bands | Source: TradingView

BTC.D also fell to the bottom of the Bollinger Bands, after riding a breakout of the bands down to 60% dominance. After touching that support, dominance has been rising. After an asset closed back withing the Bollinger Bands, a move to the opposite band is probable. Past examples of BTC.D touching the bottom band, quickly rebounding to the top band.

BTC.D Monthly Ichimoku Cloud | Source: TradingView

Next, the monthly Ichimoku shows a retest of the bottom of cloud support. The cloud, or Kumo, acts as support or resistance, and widens depending on volatitly. BTC.D monthly holding at such a critical line on high timeframes, could indicate that dominance won’t go any lower.

BTC.D Weekly Relative Strenght Index | Source: TradingView

The Relative Strength Index on weekly timeframes has also reached oversold conditions on BTC.D. The last time this metric fell so low, altcoins went a lot higher, and dominance dropped further.

But the movement in the metric didn’t match the strength highlighted by the indicator, signaling an enormous bearish divergence. A second bearish divergence also formed, extending across each subsequent bottom. Eventually, dominance reversed, and here we are at a crossroads.

Does dominance fall further and altcoins shine, or are these signals enough to put a bottom in on dominance and end to alt season?

Tags: altcoinaltcoinsbitcoinbitcoin dominancebtcbtc.dbtcusdBTCUSDTcryptocryptocap-btc.dethereumLitecoinRipplexbtxbtusd
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a digital media executive and global remote work leader with a decade of content experience and excellent. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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