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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Bitcoin Decline Ahead? Bearish Crossover Forms In This Metric

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 2:32 pm
3 mins read
Bitcoin Bear

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The Bitcoin taker buy/sell ratio is currently forming a crossover that has led to the price of the asset observing a decline in the past.

Bitcoin Taker Buy Sell Ratio Moving Averages Are Crossing Over

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the 350-day moving average (MA) of the metric is crossing with the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) right now. The “taker buy/sell ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the taker buy and taker sell volumes in the Bitcoin futures market.

When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the long or the taker buy volume is higher than the short or the taker sell volume currently. Such a trend suggests that more users are willing to pay a higher price for BTC right now.

On the other hand, values below the threshold imply the taker sell volumes are more dominant in the futures market at the moment, and thus, a bearish sentiment is shared by the majority.

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Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 350-day MA and 100-day EMA versions of the Bitcoin taker buy/sell ratio over the last few years:

Bitcoin Taker Buy Sell Ratio

Looks like the two metrics have come together in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the quant has highlighted how the behavior of these two moving averages of the taker buy/sell ratio seems to have affected the price of the cryptocurrency.

It looks like whenever the two metrics have made a cross, the BTC price has observed a buy or sell signal. More specifically, whenever the 100-day EMA has crossed below the 350-day MA, the price has felt a bearish effect, while the reverse type of crossover has generally been bullish for the coin.

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Bitcoin On-Chain Data Shows Why $24,700 Is A Major Resistance For BTC

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Also, a peculiar trend that has historically been seen with the 100-day EMA is that whenever this indicator breaks the 1 line, the BTC price forms a bottom (when the break is above) or top (when it’s below).

Recently, these Bitcoin taker buy/sell ratio lines have touched each other again. The bearish type of crossover seems to be forming here, as the 100-day EMA has dipped below the 350-day MA.

If the past instances of this crossover are anything to go by, BTC may soon see some downward push. The price has actually already slid down a bit in the last few days, but currently, it’s unclear if the crossover is already in effect or if the real decline is yet to come.

The 100-day EMA taker buy/sell ratio also looks to be plunging recently and the metric is now fast approaching the 1 level. If a break below takes place, then a local top may be confirmed for the price, if, again, the past pattern holds any relevance.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $23,900, up 1% in the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC seems to have declined in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Mark Basarab on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

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