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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Dominance Dropped Below 50%, What This Could Mean For The Market

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD

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Ad discliamer

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Bitcoin still moving sideways on the lower timeframes has managed to hold above key support. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $49.807,17 with 16.8% and 2.4% in the weekly and monthly charts, respectively. The market cap stands at 938 billion.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC trending down on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

Trader Byzantine General has pointed to $47,000 as support, according to on-chain data. As seen in the chart below, Bitcoin whales have formed 4 major clusters of support with a large amount of BTC bought at $48,507; $47,646; $46,532, and $45,507.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Whalemap

Conversely, the price zone around $55,000 has become a major resistance and an area with a “ton of whale inflows”, as monitor Whalemap stated. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for Bitcoin in the daily chart will be its most important support. Now, this metrics sits around $40,000, a number BTC could revisit, according to Byzantine General:

47k was support, a bunch of stuff confirmed this, including whale bubbles. That’s why I said a few hours ago that we probably see a relief bounce. But bigger picture I think it’s quite likely we fizzle down to 40k.

Bitcoin’s dominance has also been affected by its price performance. The metric dropped below 50% for the first time since January 2018 when it reached 37%, as Chief Strategy Officer at CoinShares, Meltem Demiros, claimed. At present, BTC’s dominance displays some recovery and is back above 50%.

Bitcoin BTC Dominance
BTC Dominance on a 3 month low. Source: BTC.D Index Tradingview

When BTC’s dominance dropped 3 years ago, altcoins saw important gains. On the surface, this market cycle could go on a similar path. However, Demiros believes that profits for some altcoins, like Solana (SOL) and Terra (LUNA), were not driven by “cash inflows” but from a “large rotation” on crypto platforms.

Therefore, it seems necessary for investors to keep track of an altcoin’s trading volume and market depth. Coins with low liquidity, trading volume, and “price narratives” could be susceptible to high volatility. Demiros added:

The story around BTC dominance and the rise of alts is def one to follow. History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. I’m curious to see how this cycle will unfold and what will be different. Make sure u look at more than just price when making decisions!

New Investors Drive Bitcoin’s Sell-off

Data from Glassnode for the Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow (EADF), metric used to time market lows and bullish or bearish trends points to a high level of activity by new investors during this week sell-off.

As analyst William Clemente said and showed in the chart below, BTC’s dormancy is decreasing. Therefore, “new coins” are being transferred to long-term holders. The Long-Term Holder Net Position Change has also seen a rise over the past days. Clemente said:

Bitcoin volatility is simply a mechanism for transferring coins from weak-hands to strong-hands with conviction.
Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Glassnode via William Clemente

Bitcoin still moving sideways on the lower timeframes has managed to hold above key support. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $49.807,17 with 16.8% and 2.4% in the weekly and monthly charts, respectively. The market cap stands at 938 billion.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC trending down on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

Trader Byzantine General has pointed to $47,000 as support, according to on-chain data. As seen in the chart below, Bitcoin whales have formed 4 major clusters of support with a large amount of BTC bought at $48,507; $47,646; $46,532, and $45,507.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Whalemap

Conversely, the price zone around $55,000 has become a major resistance and an area with a “ton of whale inflows”, as monitor Whalemap stated. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for Bitcoin in the daily chart will be its most important support. Now, this metrics sits around $40,000, a number BTC could revisit, according to Byzantine General:

47k was support, a bunch of stuff confirmed this, including whale bubbles. That’s why I said a few hours ago that we probably see a relief bounce. But bigger picture I think it’s quite likely we fizzle down to 40k.

Bitcoin’s dominance has also been affected by its price performance. The metric dropped below 50% for the first time since January 2018 when it reached 37%, as Chief Strategy Officer at CoinShares, Meltem Demiros, claimed. At present, BTC’s dominance displays some recovery and is back above 50%.

Bitcoin BTC Dominance
BTC Dominance on a 3 month low. Source: BTC.D Index Tradingview

When BTC’s dominance dropped 3 years ago, altcoins saw important gains. On the surface, this market cycle could go on a similar path. However, Demiros believes that profits for some altcoins, like Solana (SOL) and Terra (LUNA), were not driven by “cash inflows” but from a “large rotation” on crypto platforms.

Therefore, it seems necessary for investors to keep track of an altcoin’s trading volume and market depth. Coins with low liquidity, trading volume, and “price narratives” could be susceptible to high volatility. Demiros added:

The story around BTC dominance and the rise of alts is def one to follow. History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. I’m curious to see how this cycle will unfold and what will be different. Make sure u look at more than just price when making decisions!

New Investors Drive Bitcoin’s Sell-off

Data from Glassnode for the Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow (EADF), metric used to time market lows and bullish or bearish trends points to a high level of activity by new investors during this week sell-off.

As analyst William Clemente said and showed in the chart below, BTC’s dormancy is decreasing. Therefore, “new coins” are being transferred to long-term holders. The Long-Term Holder Net Position Change has also seen a rise over the past days. Clemente said:

Bitcoin volatility is simply a mechanism for transferring coins from weak-hands to strong-hands with conviction.
Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Glassnode via William Clemente
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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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