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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident
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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Investors Gripped By Fear, Any Sign Of Hope Remain?

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
1 year ago
2 mins read
bitcoin

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Bitcoin is moving sideways after a major bear assault took it below its 2021 low. The first crypto by market cap seems to be displaying short-term low volatility and could see further downside, according to market participants’ expectations.

Related Reading | Coinbase Is on a Downwards Spiral and Could Be Taking your Crypto with It

At the time of writing, the first crypto by market cap trades at $30,400 with a 1.5% profit in the past 24-hours.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

The crash in the price of Bitcoin was triggered by a shift in the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) policy. The financial institution has begun tightening its monetary policies after years of low-interest rates and high liquidity across the markets.

According to a recent report from on-chain research firm Glassnode, Bitcoin entered bear market territory in 2021. At that time, expectations of higher interest rates from the FED saw an uptick.

The firm believes that May and July 2021 selloff was the “genesis” of the current bear market. This coincides with a dropped in the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

This metric is used to measure returns and has been on a decline every year since BTC became a tradable asset. The recent dropped in BTC’s returns, the research firm said, is worse than when the cryptocurrency crashed from the mid-area around $50,000 to $42,000.

As seen below, Glassnode claims this dropped in CAGR or returns coincides with the starts and ends of BTC bear markets. In terms of returns, May-July 2021 behaved similarly and even recorded a steeper decline than today’s negative 30% drop in this metric.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Glassnode

If history is to repeat, Bitcoin should see some relief in the short term. This potential bounce might not mark the definitive bottom of the downside trend.

Players Bet On More Future Bitcoin Downside Price Action

Market participants are expecting this scenario. For the next two to three months, Glassnode noted, there is an increase in the number of put (sell) options for Bitcoin.

The strike prices for these options stand at $25,000, $20,000, and $15,000. Call (buy) options, the research firm claimed, are lower with most bullish traders aiming for a bounce to $40,000 over the same period. Glassnode said:

This suggests that at least out to the middle of the year, the market has a strong preference for hedging risk, and/or speculating on further downside price action.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Reclaims $30K Territory After Recent Weeks’ Struggle – Analysts Weigh In

Over the long term, the options market is bullish. By the end of 2022, players are setting their strike prices at around $70,000 to $100,000.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Glassnode
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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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