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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Will Outperform All Other Assets In 2023 Due To 3 Reasons: Report

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
1 year ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin vs Gold

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In a new report, Capriole Investments has posited that Bitcoin will outperform all other assets in the coming year due to three key reasons. One of those reasons, perhaps unsurprisingly to many, will be the currently all-defining U.S. Federal Reserve (FED).

According to the company, the market is currently experiencing the most aggressive monetary policy since the 1980s. The annual rate of change in the M2 money supply is now negative for the first time ever, as shown by analyst Dylan LeClair yesterday.

Uh guys, the money printer got jammed. pic.twitter.com/IimHwaoEaX

— Dylan LeClair 🟠 (@DylanLeClair_) December 28, 2022

As Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards explained, the Federal Reserve has always lowered the federal funds rate in subsequent years when inflation exceeded 5% and then declined by more than 20%, as has been seen recently.

Although in all cases, the inflation peak persisted for several more years. In 4 out of 5 cases, inflation normalized to the 2-3% range in the following years, while the FED fund rates declined there on out, as the chart below shows.

FED privot
FED pivot

“I expect this will be the golden decade for hard money,” Edwards continued and said that history suggests that further monetary tightening is not necessary, making it very likely that the Fed will pivot within the next six months. This would also be in line with the FED’s latest assessment, which forecasts an increase in rates by another 75 basis points, which could mean two steps (50 and 25 bps) or three steps (three times 25 bps).

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Capriole Investments argues that the need for the FED to pivot in the next year will be due to a number of reasons. On the one hand, pressure on the economy is increasing, as evidenced by declining indexes, mass layoffs at tech companies, and sentiment in the housing market; on the other hand, debt will be a major driver:

Higher rates for longer puts significant stress on the US Government to fund its liabilities. From the Government’s point of view, it’s much better to have a higher baseline inflation rate (say 2-4%) which helps to deplete relative debt burden over time.

Bitcoin Is Harder Than Gold

Capriole Investments compares today’s inflation spike to those in 1970 and 1975. “Both periods sparked huge gold bull-runs. From 1971-1975, gold rallied 450% and between 1977-1980 it shot up 800%,” as the firm notes.

There are “compelling parallels” between today’s and the 1970s in terms of inflation trends. With Bitcoin being the “harder money” compared to gold, plus other advantages, Capriole Investments expects BTC to outperform its older competitor.

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Accordingly, a second key reason for Bitcoin’s massive strength in 2023 will be its upcoming halving in early 2024. Currently, BTC’s market capitalization is only 2.5% of gold’s market capitalization, which means upside potential of 3,739%.

Bitcoin Vs. Gold
Bitcoin Vs. Gold

“In just over a year, Bitcoin will become the hardest asset in the world, with a programmed inflation rate less than half that of gold. […] Every Bitcoin halving has kick started a cyclical bull-market in digital assets. Yet every halving people expect that to be priced in,” Capriole Investment says.

BTC Poised For A Bull Run In 2023

Looking at the fundamentals, Edwards notes that Bitcoin is trading within $100 of the Bitcoin bottom signals he gave in November. The all-important chart according to Edwards is that of Bitcoin’s cost of production, “Bitcoin continues to trade at the bottom of the cost of electricity. Incredibly rare, low value.”

In conclusion, the investment firm predicts the 2020s will be the decade of hard money, similar to the 1970s. “For stock market investors, this could be called “a lost decade.”

“If you agree, the only question left is which hard money will prevail,” Capriole says, going on to say that Bitcoin is poised to outperform gold because of three major advantages: It’s harder, it’s digital, and it’s 1/40 the size of gold, making it predestined for greater appreciation.

At press time, the BTC price was still struggling to gain momentum, trading at $16,584.

BTC USD 2022-12-29
Bitcoin price, 1-day chart

 

Featured image from Kanchanara / Unsplash, Charts from Capriole Investments and TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

Read more

His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Ad discliamer

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