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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Price Monthly Moving Average Growth Hints At Where Crypto Market Cycle Is At

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
5 years ago
3 mins read

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While a recent poll shows that the majority of crypto investors have never experienced a transition from a bear market into a bull run, it’s clear that’s what’s transpiring across the crypto market in recent weeks, as the price of Bitcoin continues to climb upward and away from the bottom set back in December 2018.

Now that Bitcoin price is rising once again following a full year of downtrend, the asset’s 200-week moving average – an important long-term trend strength indicator – is also again growing at a rate of 5% month over month. The growth rate also could help analysts determine where the crypto market is in terms of its transition from bear to bull.

Bitcoin’s 200-Week Moving Average Growth Suggests We Are Close to Crypto Bull Run

The 200-week moving average is among the most important indicators for any trader or investor to watch, in any financial market and not just the crypto industry. If the asset’s price trades above or below the average says a lot about the strength of a long-term trend.

In Bitcoin, the vital indicator acted as support at the lowest points of the bear market, was what eventually prevented Bitcoin price from falling lower, and acted as the fuel that rocketed Bitcoin into a new bull trend.

Related Reading | Next Bitcoin Bull Run Will Be First Cycle Supported By Established Financial Firms

At the time, crypto analysts had feared a break of the 200-week moving average would call into question Bitcoin’s longevity as a financial asset, as most investors would see this as a major threat to the digital gold’s long-term trend structure – something it may never bounce back from.

However, bounce it did, and since then Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average is back to growing at a rate of 5% each month. In a chart shared by prominent crypto analyst “100TrillionUSD” the moving average growth rate is depicted as varying shades of color.

#Bitcoin 200 week moving average is growing at 5% per month again pic.twitter.com/4vGm3vjyF8

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) June 10, 2019

As can be clearly seen, the chart started to turn into a teal or turquoise color, with a touch of light green behind it. Prior to this, Bitcoin’s moving average was at its lowest growth rate of 2% per month displayed in the darkest shade of blue. It’s worth noting that Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average has never once declined throughout the course of its history.

Comparing the previous bear to bull transition coming out of the last bear market cycle into the bull run that captured the mainstream public’s attention in 2017, the color-coded 200-week moving average growth rate appears to suggest that the price action the crypto market is currently experiencing, puts the market cycle somewhere closer to the start of 2017 – seemingly bypassing all of 2016 show-build of bullish momentum.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Returns 144,912% in 7 Years, Investors Always Wish They Bought More 

Most crypto analysts had been calling for increasingly longer market cycles in Bitcoin, but given the recent price action and corresponding growth in the 200-week moving average, Bitcoin price might be close to going on a full blown bull run, causing a much shorter market cycle from bear market low to the peak of the next hype cycle – whenever that may be.

Featured Image from Shutterstock
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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