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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Price Starts Uptober With Record Open Interest Increase, BTC Rally Will Be Short lived?

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
2 years ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin Price

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The Bitcoin price is once again trading above $20,000, its 2017 all-time high, with bullish momentum on low timeframes. The cryptocurrency has been in a similar situation since losing this level early in 2022, leaving many traders to wonder if the bulls will be able to sustain the current price action.

Related Reading: Thorchain Shows A Glimpse Of Hope, Are The Green Days Near?

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price trades at $20,100 with a 4% profit in the last 24 hours and a 5% profit in the last 7 days, respectively. Other cryptocurrencies in the top 10 by market capitalization are following Bitcoin with Binance Coin (BNB) outperforming the ranking recording an 8% profit over the same period.

Bitcoin price BTC BTCUSDT
BTC’s price moving sideways on the 1-hour chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview

Bitcoin Price Open Interest Hints At Fresh Bear Assault?

Data from Arcane Research shows that the Bitcoin price current price action has been followed by a spike of Open Interest (OI) in the derivatives sector. BTC futures contracts have been increasing since the start of October, as market participants bet on future appreciation for the cryptocurrency.

As seen in the chart below, the OI denominated in BTC reached a monthly high of 464,500 BTC with the Bitcoin price rallying northbound to $20,000. The spike in OI as the price trends to the upside in October indicates that traders are taking long positions.

As seen in the chart, this is not the first time this month that longs rushed into the price action. In Late September, OI skyrocketed with the price, and longs were flushed as the Bitcoin price returned to its previous support levels, will history repeat this time less than a week from that downside move?

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT
Source: Arcane Research

Major Upside Rally For The Bitcoin Price Could Be In The Making

On higher timeframes, additional data from Arcane Research shows a spike in Open Interest as the Bitcoin price trends to the downside. The metric has been moving upwards since April 2021 when it saw a slight decrease after BTC’s price crashed from $64,000.

At that time, the cryptocurrency recorded its first all-time high of that year. In the months after, the Bitcoin price made a re-test of the highs and reached uncharted territory as the OI move sideways, the biggest spike was recorded as BTC crashed and entered a bear market reaching its current levels.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT Chart 3
Source: Arcane Research

In other words, traders remain relatively flat as BTC hit $69,000, but began shorting at a high pace as the cryptocurrency trended to the downside. This amount of short-sided Open Interest could provide enough fuel for another bull run or at least might provide enough support for Bitcoin to reclaim previously lost territory.

Related Reading: Uniswap Rally Could Be In Jeopardy, Despite UNI’s Solid Social Engagement

Arcane Research analyst Vetle Lunde commented the following on this spike in Open Interest and its potential implications for the Bitcoin price:

The growth since May is truly remarkable. We will see vivid markets whenever these positions get (un)willingly closed out.

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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