Bitcoin Price Surges Past $63,000: The Key Reasons

Jake Simmons

11 months ago

3 mins read

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After a decline to $53,600 last Friday, the Bitcoin price experienced a major recovery over the weekend, exceeding the $63,000 threshold today. This marks a massive 17% increase since last Friday, reaching this level for the first time in two weeks. The rally can be attributed to several factors that collectively propelled the premier’s cryptocurrency’s price upward.

#1 The “Trump Bitcoin Pump”

The resurgence in the Bitcoin price coincided with the attempted assassination of former President and 2024 presidential hopeful Donald Trump. The incident significantly impacted his odds in the upcoming election, with betting market Polymarket now forecasting a 70% probability of his victory.

Crypto expert Will Clemente III highlighted on X, “Trump’s odds of winning in November are skyrocketing in prediction markets.” He further noted, “Based on Bitcoin’s reaction so far, looks like markets are going to begin pricing in a full Trump victory.”

Alex Krüger, a macro analyst, elaborated on the implications of a potential Trump presidency for the financial markets: “The Trump Trade is now on its way. This what Trump winning, or the expectation of him winning, entails: Bullish for Crypto because Trump’s administration might pursue supportive regulations for cryptocurrencies, fostering innovation and adoption.”

#2 German Selling Exhausted

The recent completion of a large-scale Bitcoin sell-off by the German government also contributed to the price recovery. Germany exhausted its cache of 50,000 BTC seized from Movie2k, completing its final transaction of 3846.05 BTC last Friday.

James “Checkmate” Check, a leading on-chain analyst, remarked on the incredible strength of the BTC price on X, “Folks, Bitcoin just absorbed a 50k BTC market sell order in a few weeks. It dipped ~25%, in a very structured and orderly correction. Last time something like this happened was LUNA selling ~80k $BTC and price dropped from $46k to $25k, and soon after to $17k. Not the same.”

#3 DXY Is Showing Weakness

The weakening US dollar is probably another driver of BTC’s recent gains. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar against a basket of major currencies, fell 1.8% over the last two weeks to a five-week low of 104.

The expectation of an interest rate cut and the growing US government deficit, which reached $1.27 trillion year-to-date in June, have contributed to the dollar’s decline, pushing investors towards riskier assets like Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

#4 Bitcoin Miner Capitulation Ends

Joe Burnett, another noted crypto analyst, highlighted via X yesterday that a month-long period of Bitcoin miner capitulation is nearing its end, indicating a potential reversal in downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Historically, the end of miner capitulation has been associated with subsequent price increases.

#5 Technical Breakout

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin surpassed the critical 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a descending trendline this Saturday. This milestone can be considered a bullish signal among traders, indicating a possible end to the downturn that began in early June.

At press time, BTC traded at $63,105.

Bitcoin price — BTC overcomes the 200-day EMA (blue), 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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