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Bitcoin Price Targets at Bottom Show That Crypto Markets Are Unpredictable

Tony "The Bull" by Tony "The Bull"
4 years ago
in Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency Market News
Reading Time: 3 mins read

As Bitcoin price inches closer to $10,000, the market is still showing signs of disbelief due to the speed and power at which Bitcoin rose out of the depths of the bear market. No one expected the crypto asset to spike so strongly following the longest bear market on record.

The price targets thrown around by crypto investors around the time the bottom was put in – around mid-December – clearly display just how unpredictable the crypto market is, as no one at all was calling for Bitcoin to breach $6,000 and so quickly be knocking at $10,000’s door.

Overly Confident Crypto Investors Completely Miss Bitcoin Price Target

Financial market cycles all play out the same way, and despite it being an emerging asset like no other, Bitcoin has been no different and has demonstrated the same peaks and troughs of investors sentiment. Bitcoin price rose substantially in 2017, forming a “bubble” peak that popped, causing an 85% decline following the break of the crypto’s parabolic advance, and the longest bear market on record ensued.

Related Reading | Why The Next Bitcoin Bull Run Could Eclipse The Last Crypto Bubble 

During this time, irrational exuberance, euphoria, and hype quickly turned into anxiety, denial, and soon, panic, as the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies plummeted faster than they rose in the first place. As the market bottomed, anger, depression, and fear are emotions that are at their highest, causing investors to be reluctant to buy at prices that would otherwise be viewed as ideal entry points. This fear-filled sentiment clouded the judgement of many, as can be seen in volume profiles during that price action.

Also around that time, recently capitulated crypto investors began targeting far below the Bitcoin bottom of $3,150 and had been looking for prices in the $2,000 range, with some calling for $1,000 or lower.

When we were at the 3-4K range, I don't remember seeing one analysis or chart predicting $BTC having 8.9K+ as a target.

Goes to show nobody knows what's going to happen next.

— Bagsy (@imBagsy) May 27, 2019

One person called for “triple digits” for the rest of the year and not until 2020 when Bitcoin would break back into four digits. Instead the cryptocurrency is already targeting five digits with a decisive break of $10,000 not out of the realm of possibility.

Collectively, most investors didn’t see Bitcoin breaking above $6,000 anytime soon, and certainly no calls for $8,000 or above. Most assumed Bitcoin wouldn’t start a new bull market for at least another year. The entire rally has shocked investors across the board, suggesting that the crypto market is just edging its way out of the disbelief phase.

Related Reading | Poll Reveals Majority of Crypto Investors See Bitcoin Price at $100,000 to Millions Long-Term 

What comes after disbelief is new hope, followed by optimism. After that the bull market will help guide the price of cryptocurrencies high once again, and the cycle will reach full-blown euphoria once again.

Much like overly bearish price targets were actually a signal to buy, once euphoria sets in, and investors begin talking about million dollar BTC, it might be a signal that the top is in, and it’s time to repeat the entire cycle all over again.

Featured image from Shutterstock
Tags: bitcoinbottomBubblecryptoprice target
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Tony "The Bull"

Tony "The Bull"

Tony is the “always-on” Editorial Director and Head of Research at NewsBTC, leading a talented team of writers and editors across several different global time zones. Tony is also the founder of CoinChartist.io – an educational website focused on crypto trading. Partners include Elliott Wave International, TradingView, and more. Tony’s background includes an extensive, award-winning media production career and over fifteen years of publishing operations and management. In the past, Tony has founded several media websites and his content has been read billions of times. Past clients include the BBC, Fidelity, and many others. Tony "The Bull" is a level 3 CMT student (passed level 1 & 2), technical analyst, Bitcoin supporter, and avid speculator. He owns a python named Satoshi. Tony longs for the day when money is separated from the state. Tony is deeply fascinated by core market principles such as Elliott Wave Theory as they tie into mathematics like Fibonacci ratios. Market timing though DeMark indicators, Ichimoku, Gann tools, or Hurst Cycle Theory are also of key interest. Tony provides completely original content driven by exclusive, independent research. For more insights and education from Tony, check out his free TonyTradesBTC Telegram channel. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC on Twitter. You can also follow @CoinChartist_io on Twitter and subscribe on YouTube.

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