NewsBTC
No Result
View All Result
  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play GamesTry
  • CasinosTry
Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident
  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play GamesTry
  • CasinosTry
Bitcoin News
No Result
View All Result
Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

If Bitcoin Traders Short Here, They Have “Terrible Odds” Of Making Money: Analyst

Nick Chong
Nick Chong
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin price

Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

Bitcoin’s consolidation over the past few weeks hasn’t been seen as bullish by everyone. Case in point: institutional traders on the CME are currently net short on BTC futures.

Yet, a trader says that those shorting have “terrible odds” of making money.

Related Reading: Ethereum Could Soon “Rally Hard” as DeFi Hits Escape Velocity: Fund Manager

Bitcoin Is Historically Unlikely to Drop From Here

According to an analyst, Bitcoin has a historically low chance of dropping from the $9,000 consolidation.

He shared the chart below on June 21st to illustrate this point. The chart shows that Bitcoin has recently entered back into the logarithmic growth curve that has supported BTC’s price for the past decade.

This suggests it has a low likelihood of falling below the bottom of the curve, which is currently around $8,800, unless there is a black swan event like there was in March 2020:

“Here is a taste: Except for the Covid-candle, #bitcoin never closed a 2W below the log growth curve. So, if you short tonight you have terrible odds.”

Image

Chart by crypto trader "Polar Hunt" (@Polar_hunt on Twitter). Chart from TradingView.com

A Weak S&P 500 Could Threaten Bitcoin

Yet a weak S&P 500 and global equities market could threaten the Bitcoin bull case.

Wall Street firms have observed over recent weeks that the narrative that cryptocurrencies are entirely uncorrelated with the stock market has not held up.

Two Goldman Sachs executives came out with a presentation indicating that Bitcoin and other digital assets to not provide viable diversification benefits over a traditional stock/bond portfolio.

And JPMorgan analysts suggested that after March’s crash, cryptocurrencies have effectively been trading like equities do, decreasing their value proposition.

This means that should the S&P 500 crash, so too should Bitcoin.

And unfortunately for bulls, prominent investors see the S&P 500 pulling back as the economy fails to match the speed of the recovery in the price of stocks.

Scott Minerd, the global CIO of Guggenheim Partners, said that he thinks that the S&P 500 could retrace nearly 50% to 1,600 points.

Minerd attributed his bearish sentiment to three core trends/signals: the technical uptrend that the index formed in March has been broken, the argument of “Don’t fight the Fed” is flawed, and stocks are extremely overvalued as earnings drop while valuations increase.

Related Reading: Crypto Tidbits: Bitcoin Holds $9k, Ethereum DeFi Gains Traction, Trump Talked BTC in 2018

This bearish sentiment has been echoed by Jeremy Grantham, a stock trader who called previous market tops like that seen in 2008-2009. Grantham told CNBC that he thinks a bubble is forming, calling current market conditions “crazy.”

Featured Image from Shutterstock
Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt
Charts from TradingView.com
If Bitcoin Traders Short Here, They Have "Terrible Odds" Of Making Money: Analyst
Tweet123Share214ShareSend
Nick Chong
Nick Chong

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Related News

DOGE

DOGE Bulls Hold The Line At $0.15 — Is The Rally Still Alive?

Dogecoin (DOGE) prices have crashed by over 4% in the past month indicating a slightly dominant bearish influence in recent...

Semilore Faleti 6 hours ago
Top crypto analist: het ideale Dogecoin koopmoment voor kans op 200% rally

Top crypto analist: het ideale Dogecoin koopmoment voor kans op 200% rally

Een top crypto analist heeft op Tradingview zijn licht laten schijnen op de Dogecoin koers. Volgens SwallowAcademy kunnen we binnenkort...

Lars Diederiksen 8 hours ago
Ethereum Wyckoff Accumulation Hints At Explosive Q3 – $4K Level In Sight

Ethereum Wyckoff Accumulation Hints At Explosive Q3 – $4K Level In Sight

Ethereum is trading just above the $2,500 mark following days of volatility, choppy price action, and uncertainty across crypto markets....

Sebastian Villafuerte 7 hours ago
Load More

Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

Related News

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Must Hold $106,000 And $98,000 To Avoid Breakdown

Scott Matherson 1 hour ago
Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s True Value Is Higher Than $110,000, Expert Warns

Christian Encila 2 hours ago
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Consolidation Continues: 2 Key Support Levels To Watch

Semilore Faleti 4 hours ago

Premium Sponsors

Press Releases

  • Cryptocurrency is the best way to get rich quickly, easily...

    13 hours ago
  • XRP Cryptocurrency × Dogecoin Mining: HASHJ launches...

    20 hours ago
  • Koja kriptovaluta ima veći potencijal za stvaranje milijunaša XRP ili Shiba Inu

    Koja kriptovaluta ima veći potencijal za stvaranje...

    24 hours ago
  • 3 altcoina koje vrijedi pratiti u prvom tjednu srpnja 2025

    1 day ago
  • XRP Bulls Are Soaring — FINDMINING Rides the Wave to...

    1 day ago

Newsletter

Be the first to get the latest important crypto news & events to your inbox.

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

About Us

NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Company

  • About Us
  • Advertising
  • Contact Us
  • Privacy Center

Social

© 2025 NewsBTC. All Rights Reserved.

  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play Games
  • Casinos
Advertise

© 2025 NewsBTC. All Rights Reserved.

This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy Center or Cookie Policy.