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Breaking News: Bitcoin Bottom Prediction: Top Analyst Says It’s Close—What Price Comes Next?
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Bottom Prediction: Top Analyst Says It’s Close—What Price Comes Next?

Bitcoin Supply In Loss Crosses Critical Threshold — Bullish Reversal Next?

Opeyemi Sule
Opeyemi Sule
Last Updated: June 8, 2026 12:00 am
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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After days of steep downward movement, the price of Bitcoin appears to have found a somewhat reliable anchor around the $60,000 region. However, recent on-chain data suggests that the premier cryptocurrency might not be down for long, with a bullish reversal seemingly on the cards.

Is BTC Price Bottom Already Forming?

In a June 7th post on the X platform, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that the price of Bitcoin might have just reached a major bottom in this cycle. This evaluation is based on changes in the Bitcoin Supply In Loss metric, which measures the amount of BTC in circulation that was last moved at a price above the current market value.

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This on-chain metric provides insight into how much pressure investors are under (or how deeply underwater they are) as they hold their Bitcoin at an unrealized loss. Hence, the Supply In Loss indicator, near unprecedented levels, is a signal of systemic fear and an impending shift in Bitcoin market dynamics.

Martinez noted that the flagship cryptocurrency formed major cycle bottoms in the past when more than 10 million BTC were held at a loss. According to Glassnode data highlighted by the analyst, Bitcoin has breached this threshold, with 10.46 million coins (more than half of the circulating supply) underwater.

Bitcoin
Source: @alicharts on X

As observed in the chart above, the Bitcoin price saw a bullish reversal in late 2018, as the supply in loss crossed this 10 million threshold. A similar pattern could be seen for BTC’s price when its Supply In Loss climbed to this mark around 2022.

Martinez explained:

I believe this is an important signal because selling pressure often begins to fade as fewer investors are willing to realize losses, increasing the probability of a market bottom forming.

Based strictly on historical context and patterns, there is a high likelihood that a price bottom is forming for BTC at current levels. However, an important factor to discount is that the Bitcoin circulating supply was markedly lower in both periods (around 17.4 million and 19.2 million towards the end of 2018 and 2022, respectively).

Lower circulating supply could mean the Supply In Loss might edge slightly higher this time, suggesting the BTC price could see further downside. This was evident in 2015 (when the circulating supply was much lower), when the Supply In Loss didn’t reach the 10 million threshold before a bullish reversal.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $62,746, reflecting a 2.5% jump in the past 24 hours.

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Bitcoin
The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
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Opeyemi Sule
Opeyemi Sule

Opeyemi Sule

Opeyemi is a proficient writer and enthusiast in the exciting and unique cryptocurrency realm. While the digital asset industry was not his first choice, he has remained absolutely drawn since making a foray into the space over two years. Now, Opeyemi takes pride in creating unique pieces unraveling the complexities of blockchain technology and sharing insights on the latest trends in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Read more

Opeyemi savors his attraction to the crypto market, which explains why he spends the better parts of his day looking through different price charts. “Looking” is a rather simple way to describe analyzing and interpreting various price patterns and chart formations. However, it appears that is not Opeyemi’s favorite part - in fact, far from it.

Being able to connect what happens on a price chart to on-chain movements and blockchain activities is what keeps Opeyemi ticking. “This emphasizes the intricacies of blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market,” he would say. Most importantly, Opeyemi thinks of any market insights as the gospel, while recognizing that he is only a messenger.

When he is not clicking away at his keyboard, Opeyemi is most definitely listening to music, playing games, reading a book, or scrolling through X. He likes to think he is not loyal to a particular genre of music, which can be true on many days. However, the fast-rising Afrobeats genre is a staple in Opeyemi’s Spotify Daily Mix.

Meanwhile, Opeyemi is a voracious reader who enjoys a wide category of books - ranging from science fiction, fantasy, and historical, to even romance. He believes that authors like George R. R. Martin and J. K.
Rowling are the greatest of all time when it comes to putting pen to paper. Opeyemi believes his reading of the Harry Potter series twice is proof of that.

Indeed, Opeyemi enjoys spending most of his time within the four walls of his home. However, he also sometimes finds solace in the company of his friends at a bar, a restaurant, or even on a stroll. In essence, Opeyemi’s ambivert (haha! been searching for an opportunity to use the word to describe myself) nature makes him a social chameleon who is able to quickly adapt to different settings.

Opeyemi recognizes the need to constantly develop oneself in order to stay afloat in a competitive and ever-evolving market like crypto. For this reason, he is always in learning mode, ready to pick up the slightest lesson from every situation. Opeyemi is efficient and likes to deliver all that is required of him in time - he believes that “whatever is worth doing at all is worth doing well.” Hence, you will always find him striving to be better.

Ultimately, Opeyemi is a good writer and an even better person who is trying to shed light on an exciting world phenomenon - cryptocurrency. He goes to bed every day with a smile of satisfaction on his face, knowing that he has done his bit of the holy assignment - spreading the crypto gospel to the rest of the world.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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