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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

This Volatility Measuring Tool Is Signaling One of Bitcoin’s Biggest Moves Yet

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
1 year ago
3 mins read
bitcoin volatility

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Bitcoin price has been trading sideways for 50 days now, preparing for its next major move. Due to how tightly coiled the price action is, volatility measuring tools are indicating extreme lows.

When volatility reaches such extremes, an explosive move often follows. With the metric touching one of the lowest points yet, Bitcoin may be gearing up for one of its most explosive moves ever. But when will this finally happen?

Boredom Strikes the Cryptocurrency Market As Volatility Declines to Extreme Lows

Crypto traders and analysts often talk of a “max pain scenario,” in reference to what price action would cause the most confusion and trend-chasing.

This sort of price action would include fakeouts, Bart moves, Darth Maul candles, and many other devastating moves meant to shake traders out of position.

It also involves expecting contrarian moves to go against the herd mentality causing the most possible destruction.

Related Reading | Decision Time: Top Crypto Traders Expect Massive Bitcoin Move In Days Ahead 

These shakeout moves serve to confuse traders and cause them to sit out until a decision is finally made. This leads to less trading volume and a decline in overall volatility.

Volatility tends to decline until it reaches an extreme low, at which a breakout will finally occur and as sidelined traders chase the breakout, volatility returns in a major way.

According to a tool that measures Bitcoin volatility, the metric has hit an extreme low that when reached in the past has led to some of Bitcoin’s most explosive moves yet.

And with nearly two months of consolidation after such a steep selloff during Black Thursday, and the asset trading just below resistance, the next move could be one of the largest ever recorded in the cryptocurrency’s short history.

bitcoin volatility btcusd bollinger band width
Source: TradingView

Break In Stagnant Bitcoin Volatility Expected, Traders Prepare For An Explosive Move

Bollinger Bands are a tool designed by market expert John Bollinger. The popular technical analysis indicator features a simple moving average and two standard deviations creating an upper and lower band.

These bands widen and tighten with price action, and the width of the bands can be used to measure overall volatility in an underlying asset.

Bollinger Band Width is showing some of the lowest levels the asset reaches. Each time the asset has touched such a low, an explosive move follows.

Adding to the severity of the move, Bitcoin’s halving just passed and has been trading sideways since. With so much consolidation, taking place right below the asset’s most important resistance level ever, a massive move is almost guaranteed.

Related Reading | This Unusual Factor Could Reignite Bitcoin’s Notorious Volatility 

A breakout would cause insane FOMO as crypt investors rushed to buy the scarce asset before it reaches $20,000 once again.

A rejection would cause traders to rush into short positions and try to profit of Bitcoin’s fall one last time.

As for what might cause the spark to ignite volatility once again, it could be written in the stars. Today marks the latest Mercury in Retrograde phase.

bitcoin volatility btcusd mercury retrograde
Source: TradingView

According to astrology, the event can cause communication issues and lead to misfortune. Matching up each low in Bollinger Band Width and each explosive move with Mercury in Retrograde periods does indicate at least some coincidence.

For those traders hoping Bitcoin hurries up and makes a decision, you may want to wish upon a star. Or in this case, a planet.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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