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Breaking News: CryptoQuant Issues Stark Forecast — Bitcoin May Fall As Low As $10,000 This Year
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Breaking News: CryptoQuant Issues Stark Forecast — Bitcoin May Fall As Low As $10,000 This Year

The Crowd Is Bearish On Bitcoin, But History Says That’s Bullish

Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson
Last Updated: March 29, 2026 1:10 pm
3 mins read
Bitcoin

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Santiment data shows that bearish sentiment language is flooding social media at peak levels. However, this might actually be a good thing for smart bullish investors, as the sentiment data proposes that what retail traders are saying may be setting up the opposite move in price.

Social Media Fear Shows Fading Bullish Language

Data from Santiment’s social dominance tracking tool shows a vivid rise in bearish language dominating Bitcoin-related discussions on social media platforms. Terms like “crash,” “dip,” “pullback,” and “bloodbath” are now appearing more frequently across social platforms, and this is a direct reflection of the fear among retail participants. Santiment’s social dominance tracking tool monitors the balance between bullish and bearish language across crypto-related social media in real time. 

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At the same time, optimistic phrases tied to rallies, such as “buy,” “accumulation,” or “mooning,” have faded into the background. As bearish as this may sound, history shows that this imbalance between fear and greed has always been associated with turning points for crypto prices.

As of late March 2026, Santiment’s chart shows that fearful language is once again heating up, with the metric flagging the current moment as a zone comparable to prior “Buy” signals marked throughout the past 13 months. 

Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,727. Chart: TradingView

Each of those prior signals, which are shown in the chart image below and visible across February, April, August, October, and November 2025, preceded meaningful upside moves in Bitcoin’s price action.

On the other hand, every major Santiment-marked “Sell” signal where bullish language peaked corresponded with local price tops. The most prominent of these occurred in late November 2025 and again in mid-January 2026, both of which were followed by price crashes.

Crypto Sentiment On Social Media. Source: Santiment On X

Bitcoin Network Activity Tells A More Complicated Story

Price alone, however, may not be enough to confirm a durable bottom. CryptoQuant data on Bitcoin active addresses introduces an important caveat: network participation has declined by more than 30% from its August 2025 peak.

During the height of Bitcoin’s bull run in August 2025, active addresses reached 938,609 on a single day, with the 30-day moving average sitting above 743,000. However, daily active addresses have fallen to 655,908 in late March, with the 7-day moving average now around 613,000 and the 30-day average at 636,000. 

Bitcoin Active Addresses. Source: CryptoQuant

This cooling in activity means that fewer participants are actively transacting on the Bitcoin blockchain network. This is another reflection of the lack of bullish price action, lack of investor engagement, and a prolonged consolidation phase.

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According to a crypto analyst on the CryptoQuant platform, a price recovery alone may not be enough to validate a convincing structural recovery. Active participants, wallets transacting, moving coins, and engaging with the network at scale will also be required for any structural recovery.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson is a prominent crypto writer at NewsBTC with a knack for capturing the pulse of the market, covering pivotal shifts, technological advancements, and regulatory changes with precision. Having witnessed the evolving landscape of the crypto world firsthand, Scott is able to dissect complex crypto topics and present them in an accessible and engaging manner. Scott's dedication to clarity and accuracy has made him an indispensable asset, helping to demystify the complex world of cryptocurrency for countless readers.

Read more

Scott’s experience spans a number of industries outside of crypto including banking and investment. He has brought his vast experience from these industries into crypto, which allows him to understand even the most complex topics and break them down in a way that is easy for readers from all works of life to understand. Scott’s pieces have helped to break down cryptocurrency processes and how they work, as well as the underlying groundbreaking technology that makes them so important to everyday life.

With years of experience in the crypto market, Scott began to focus on his true passion: writing. During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others.

Scott’s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott’s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry.

Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors.
In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else.

Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies.

Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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