This Indicator Signals Caution For Bitcoin Holders, Should Bulls Beware?

Reynaldo Marquez

Last Updated: June 11, 2024 1:55 pm

2 mins read

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After a few days below the mid-range in the $50,000 zone, Bitcoin has retraced. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $54,137 with sideways movement in the 1-hour chart, approaching correction levels in the 24-hour chart. Certain indicators point to more depreciation, at least, in the short term.

The crypto market appears to be negatively reacting to statements from the U.S. Secretary of Treasury, Janet Yellen. The top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap are in the red except for Dogecoin (DOGE) with a 30% profit in the daily chart and Litecoin with a 3.1%, at the time of writing. In the traditional market the hit was just as painful, according to Holger Zschhaepitz:

OUCH! Stocks tumble and Fear Index Vix jumps amid Tech Rout on Yellen’s rate remarks. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said rates may have to rise at one point to stop an econ overheating.

Yellen’s statements coincide with Bitcoin forming a Doji candle in the higher timeframes (30-day chart). This indicator forms when the price of an asset opens and closes at the same price and usually signals a trend reversal, as anonymous trader CryptoHamster said. The operator added the following:

(…) a doji candle (it usually signals for a trend reversal) matched the highs and/or reversals on all the major indicators. It does not mean that the bull market is over. But it means that it is wise to set the stop-loss order.

Bitcoin Investors Take Profit and The Price Moves Sideways

On-chain analyst Permatoro Niño claims Bitcoin could set a price floor around $54,000 to $56,000. A retracement to $50,000 “doesn’t look pretty” but could operate as a critical support zone.

According to the Realized Profits metric for the last 3 days, a metric used to measure the amount of BTC converted into profit by investors, there have been large green values around the $40,000 and $60,000, said the analyst.

However, the indicator has been on a downward trend and could support more appreciation if it continues. Permatoro Niño said:

One thing I always need to remind myself is that accumulation / distribution isn’t a single point in time, but moreso an extended period of time. It’s pretty clear that we’ve had one of those periods since the start of 2021.

Analyst William Clemente pointed towards a batch of 3,771 BTC moved to exchange platforms in the last 24 hours. The transaction took place before BTC retracement to current levels. In support of the bulls, the analyst reviewed Bitcoin’s Market Value Realized Value (MVRV), a metric used to measure potential local tops, and said the following:

After resetting over the last few weeks, this bitcoin bull run has a lot of room to run from here.

OUCH! Stocks tumble and Fear Index Vix jumps amid Tech Rout on Yellen’s rate remarks. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said rates may have to rise at one point to stop an econ overheating.

(…) a doji candle (it usually signals for a trend reversal) matched the highs and/or reversals on all the major indicators. It does not mean that the bull market is over. But it means that it is wise to set the stop-loss order.

Bitcoin Investors Take Profit and The Price Moves Sideways

On-chain analyst Permatoro Niño claims Bitcoin could set a price floor around $54,000 to $56,000. A retracement to $50,000 “doesn’t look pretty” but could operate as a critical support zone.

However, the indicator has been on a downward trend and could support more appreciation if it continues. Permatoro Niño said:

One thing I always need to remind myself is that accumulation / distribution isn’t a single point in time, but moreso an extended period of time. It’s pretty clear that we’ve had one of those periods since the start of 2021.

After resetting over the last few weeks, this bitcoin bull run has a lot of room to run from here.

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

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