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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Top Strike Rate Bitcoin Signal That Preceded a 2,000% Rally Just Returned

Nick Chong
Nick Chong
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 1:48 pm
2 mins read
mountain featured image for Bitcoin article

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While it was just eight weeks ago that Bitcoin was trading at $3,700 in the depths of a bear market, key signals are already showing BTC is just entering a bull market.

One such signal, an indicator that purportedly has an 8/8 or 100% strike rate, just appeared on Bitcoin’s chart, a top analyst has observed.

Bitcoin Prints Extremely Strong Buy Signal

According to a top crypto trader, the Super Guppy indicator just flipped green on Bitcoin’s daily chart, which is a sign that “we will likely go higher.”

The Super Guppy is an indicator that uses a confluence of moving averages to predict when a market is trending bullish, neutral, or bearish, printing signals when certain averages exhibit certain behavior.

Chart from Altcoin Pyscho

Per the trader, the Super Guppy has a 100% strike rate for BTC, noting in his tweet that “historically speaking, green flips on bitcoin has led to higher price 8 out of 8 times.”

This is seemingly the case.

Below is a Tradingview.com chart created by NewsBTC of Bitcoin’s macro price index, the BraveNewCoin Index. Each red line seen in the chart below is when the Super Guppy turned from red/grey to green on the one-day chart.

As can be seen, sometimes the gains were small, other times they were large, but each instance of this indicator turning bullish that NewsBTC found was followed by increases in the Bitcoin price.

Bitcoin price chart guppy indicator
Chart of all historical Super Guppy instances on Bitcoin’s one-day chart from TradingView.com

The most notable of these was in late-2016, when the Guppy turned bullish while Bitcoin was trading under $1,000, but then rallied to $20,000 in the 15 months that followed.

Not the Only Bullish Sign

The Super Guppy flipping bullish is far from the only strong sign for Bitcoin.

A prominent analyst recently shared the chart below, showing Bitcoin’s macro two-week chart overlayed with a custom trend indicator.

The chart shows that the custom indicator just printed a “buy” — last seen when BTC started to rally from the $6,000s to $14,000, and also seen in late-2017 prior to the 2,000% rally from $1,000 to $20,000. History repeating would see the crypto market rally by hundreds of percent from here.

Bitcoin breakout
Chart from @GalaxyBTC, a prominent crypto trader. He predicts Bitcoin will “explode straight to $20,000.”

The chart also indicates that BTC broke past a downtrend that has persisted since the $14,000 highs in 2019.

The cryptocurrency also has macro fundamental tailwinds, four of which were recently identified by Fundstrat Global Advisors’ co-founder and head of research, Tom Lee. They are as follows:

  • Bitcoin is the best-performing “asset class” in 2020, beating U.S. Treasuries and Gold amid a global recession.
  • BTC was the best-performing asset class of 2019, rallying 92% while the U.S. stock market gained around 20%.
  • The block reward reduction, known as a “halving,” is taking place in four days, estimates suggest.
  • Paul Tudor Jones, one of the world’s biggest macro investors, just announced his fund is taking a stake in Bitcoin futures. Like many in the cryptocurrency space, Jones believes that BTC will act as a hedge against inflation and will benefit from the ongoing digitization of money.
Featured Image from Unsplash
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Nick Chong
Nick Chong

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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