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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

CME Bitcoin Futures Gaps Give Likely Correction Targets, Next Bear Market Bottom

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
6 years ago
2 mins read

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Over the last few months, Bitcoin price has more than tripled from the deepest depths of its bear market lows, and is well on its way to revisiting its previous all time high of $20,000 it set at the height of the 2017 crypto hype bubble.

But having risen so sharply and so quickly, the first ever crypto asset has left large “gaps” in the price charts of CME Group’s Bitcoin Futures contracts. In financial markets, these gaps often get filled later on in the asset’s life, and make for ideal correction targets for traders to watch out for, and may even help indicate where a bottom may form in future bear markets.

2019 Bull Run Leaves Behind Gaps on CME Futures Charts

Across a variety of markets, when the price of an asset drops or surges too quickly it can leave an unfilled “gap” on price charts that depicts this sharp rise occurring while normal trading hours were closed. This happens most frequently in speculative asset classes where irrational exuberance can drive the value of an asset far higher than assets with more realistic valuations derived from real worth statistics.

No asset class has been driven more by speculation than cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, which makes it a prime example of price charts that regulator leaves behind gaps.

3th gap? i dunno man im rooting for a 4rd gap

— Bluntz (@Bluntz_Capital) June 24, 2019

During the recent rally, many gaps have been left behind – some of which have already been filled. However, as Bitcoin price climbs higher and with the correction everyone is anticipating yet to arrive, analysts are eyeing these gaps as potential retracement targets should a correction occur.

Stats for bitcoin CME weekly gaps greater than 3% during 2019.

There has been a gap greater than 3% on 40% of the weekends; bullish gaps mostly.

The Sunday open stop-run has resulted in an average move on the open of 2.4%. pic.twitter.com/ztHg1BxZTk

— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) June 24, 2019

Traders are watching four specific gaps at varying price points. Throughout 2019, a 3% or larger gap has been left behind on 40% of weekends – when CME Futures trading closes. Nearly all of the gaps have been filled, and analysts are expect the remaining gaps to be filled eventually.

Chart Gaps Could Indicate Next Bear Market Bitcoin Price Target

Gaps tend to be filled in financial markets, but it’s not guaranteed, and oftentimes the price eventually revisits long forgotten gaps later in the asset’s lifecycle, during downtrends and bear markets.

Related Reading| Bitcoin Returns 144,912% in 7 Years, Investors Always Wish They Bought More 

During the 2017 bull market, Bitcoin price rose so quickly after breaching its previous all-time high just above $1,000 that it left a number of gaps behind.

wyd if this never gets filled? keep shorting until it does? $BTC pic.twitter.com/s9RS4Kwsjc

— red (@redxbt) June 24, 2019

These gaps eventually served as areas of strong price action during Bitcoin’s bear market, where it spent ample time trading in the $6,000 to $10,000 range that Bitcoin just about skipped past.

If Bitcoin leaves behind unfilled gaps in the $10,000 area, these gaps could serve as bottom targets for the next bear market.

https://twitter.com/fundingrates/status/1142921890652196864?s=12

Of course they could also get filled before then, or forever remain unfilled. Markets are fickle, and rarely do what the consensus expects.

Featured image from Shutterstock
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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