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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds

Crypto Analyst Unveils The ‘True Time To Sell It All’: Here’s When

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
11 months ago
3 mins read
Crypto Bitcoin Ethereum macro outlook when to sell

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In an analysis shared on X, crypto analyst Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) has provided an in-depth macro outlook on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), suggesting that the next significant market peak—and potentially the ideal time to “sell it all”—may occur in the second half of 2025.

“Another month and a half has passed, and the full macro breakout thesis is really pushing many eyes onto the crypto charts now,” Astronomer states. Reflecting on his earlier predictions, he notes, “Last time we posted our plan of a Q4 upside breakout, BTC was at $58k and ETH was at $2.3k.” Since then, Bitcoin has risen by 20% and Ethereum by 13%, moves that occurred “against all the low timeframe technical analysis users’ belief, before the full breakout even happened.”

When Will This Crypto Bull Run End?

Astronomer emphasizes that traditional order flow and price action analysis are less effective on higher time frames, leading him to seek “edge elsewhere” through multiple data analyses. “We had our thesis in place, with multiple data analyses supporting not only that the low is in, but also that we likely would see a high timeframe breakout,” he explains.

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Delving into Bitcoin’s macro perspective, Astronomer uses a combination of time, sentiment, and volume to identify weekly cycle lows. “The Middle East capitulation event [Israel-Iran tensions] clearly formed that, timed well 28 weeks after the previous weekly cycle low,” he observes. With the next weekly low not expected until late December, he sees “still room for upside” and anticipates that “price [will] accelerate here.”

Addressing market psychology, he cautions, “The market always finds a way to escape on the low timeframes as most traders (‘investors’) find themselves trapped into short term memory fallacy and simply forget the high timeframe picture.” Astronomer remains confident in his projection, stating, “Overall peak is still expected in the second half of 2025, where I think the true time to ‘sell it all’ may occur.”

Ethereum price prediction
Ethereum price prediction | Source: X @astronomer_zero

For Ethereum, Astronomer notes a similar but compressed cyclical pattern compared to Bitcoin. “ETH typically drops later near the 4-year cycle peaks (2014, 2018, 2022) and has its surge also later in the 4-year cycle (2016, 2020), making its moves seem more aggressive,” he explained.

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He also addresses the current sentiment towards Ethereum and other layer-1 protocols: “It’s clear by now that ‘useful’ coins are deemed ‘useless’, typical things called for when price doesn’t move. Yet anyone who even remotely used ETH knows what it can do.” Astronomer attributes the stagnation in utility growth to cyclical and sentimental factors, noting, “We’ve seen massive hype around it in 2021 and that simply hasn’t been digested yet.”

Ethereum price prediction
Ethereum price prediction | Source: X @astronomer_zero

While maintaining a bullish outlook, Astronomer acknowledges the possibility of unforeseen events that could disrupt the market. “Despite all the data, there still always is a small chance I’m wrong,” he admitted. Citing potential global crises like “World War 3 (WW3)” or “the end of a nation,” he warns that such events “can always pull down the market significantly,” potentially causing Bitcoin to drop “back below $50k.”

However, he remains steadfast in his strategy: “Cycles are powerful in nature, and we’ve shown why those events shouldn’t faze you. I will indeed hold on in that case, hedged with large shorts well timed and just continue to ride out the cycle as I do think price will recover from there.”

Overall, the analyst cautions traders against losing sight of the broader picture due to short-term market movements: “You’ll start to question why… But so far, so good.” When asked by a user, “Wow! You think BTC could hit $350k? That’s incredible!”, Astronomer clarified his position: “I don’t think so. Optical illusion on the chart. It’s more $150-200k I think we can reach.”

At press time, BTC traded at $66,475.

Bitcoin price
BTC price drops below $67,000, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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