Unlocking The Dogecoin Code: One Factor Holds The Key To Its Next Ascent

Christian Encila

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Dogecoin, the meme-inspired cryptocurrency that took the internet by storm in 2021, has seen a recent uptick in price. However, experts are cautioning investors against mistaking this blip for the start of a moon mission.

DOGE Price Volatility Takes A Vacation

One factor tempering enthusiasm is Dogecoin’s current lack of volatility. While price swings are often a hallmark of the cryptocurrency market, DOGE’s volatility has hit a 30-day low.

This calmness suggests the recent price increase might not translate into a sustained upward trend.

Memecoins like Dogecoin thrive on volatility, and the current lull suggests a period of price stability, which isn’t necessarily bad, but it’s unlikely to trigger the explosive rallies we’ve seen in the past.

Source: IntoTheBlock

Dogecoin Network Activity: Apathy Or Accumulation?

Another dampener on the celebratory champagne showers is the low user activity on the Dogecoin network. The number of active addresses, which indicates user engagement, is currently hovering around 52,000.

This is a significant drop compared to March 2024, when a surge in active addresses coincided with a price jump to $0.22.

Total crypto market cap currently at $2.18 trillion. Chart: TradingView

Historically, spikes in Dogecoin’s user activity have foreshadowed price increases. The current low suggests a lack of excitement or, perhaps, a period of accumulation by investors who are waiting for the right moment to jump in.

DOGE Stuck In Consolidation: A Sideways Serenade Or Coiling For A Leap?

For the past few weeks, Dogecoin’s price has been stuck in a consolidation phase, oscillating between $0.14 and $0.16. This sideways movement, while frustrating for those hoping for a quick return, could be a sign of a different kind of preparation.

Doge price action in the last 24 hours. Source: Coingecko

Consolidation periods often precede significant breakouts. While it doesn’t guarantee a future surge, it suggests the price is finding support and could be coiling for a potential leap.

A Glimmer Of Hope: MVRV Z Score Hints At Undervaluation

A beacon of optimism comes from the MVRV Z Score, an indicator that suggests Dogecoin might be currently undervalued.

This metric essentially compares the market value of a coin to its historical value. A score below a certain threshold suggests the coin might be undervalued and has room for growth.

A Slow Burn Or A Surprise Spark?

The current data paints a picture of a cautious future for Dogecoin’s price. While a major rally seems unlikely in the immediate future, there are underlying hints that suggest potential for growth.

The low volatility and user activity could be signs of consolidation and accumulation, respectively, both of which could precede a future price increase.

Featured image from @inevitable360/X, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.