Ethereum Gained 160% The Last Time This On-Chain Indicator Flashed – Will ETH Soar Again?

Ash Tiwari

3 months ago

3 mins read

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According to a key on-chain indicator, Ethereum (ETH) may be undervalued at its current market price. The last time ETH was this undervalued was in October 2023, after which it experienced a 160% rally.

Ethereum May Be Undervalued, On-Chain Indicator Suggests

Ethereum’s current MVRV-Z score suggests that the second-largest cryptocurrency by total market capitalization may be undervalued at its present price. This metric – used to determine whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued – is currently at its lowest level in 17 months.

ETH’s low MVRV-Z score indicates that the digital asset may be approaching a local bottom. Notably, the last time this metric was at a similar level in October 2023, ETH surged by 160%.

For the uninitiated, the MVRV-Z score compares the difference between an asset’s market value and its realized value to assess overbought or oversold conditions. A high score indicates potential market tops, while a low score suggests possible bottoms.

Besides October 2023, Ethereum’s MVRV-Z score has entered the green band two other times – once in December 2022 and again in March 2020. On both occasions, ETH subsequently entered a bullish phase.

Additionally, on-chain analytics indicate that crypto whales are quietly accumulating ETH in anticipation of a significant upward move. Data from CryptoQuant reveals that ETH inflows into accumulation addresses have surged to multi-year highs, surpassing levels seen before major bull runs.

High inflows into accumulation addresses suggest that institutional investors and large holders anticipate a rise in ETH’s price. This aligns with recent analysis predicting that ETH is poised for a substantial rally this year, potentially driving the digital asset to $9,000.

Furthermore, ETH whales – wallet addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH – have been aggressively accumulating since July 2024. This coincided with the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of the first spot ETH exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Is ETH Going To Surprise The Market?

Beyond a bullish MVRV-Z score and increasing ETH inflows into accumulation addresses, several other indicators suggest that ETH may be on the verge of a surprise rally, despite prevailing bearish sentiment.

Following the recent market pullback, ETH’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to a three-year low, fuelling optimism for an imminent rally. However, increasing ETH reserves on exchanges could pose a challenge to upward momentum.

Similarly, concerns remain regarding the Ethereum Foundation’s continuous selling of ETH, which may be contributing to price suppression. As of press time, ETH is trading at $2,268, reflecting a 3.7% increase over the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from Glassnode, CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com

Ash Tiwari

Ash is a dedicated crypto researcher and blockchain enthusiast with a passion for diving deep into the evolving world of decentralized technologies. With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand.

Ash’s approach to DeFi goes beyond surface-level research as he actively participates in decentralized protocols, testing their functionality to gain a deeper understanding of how they operate. From experimenting with staking mechanisms to exploring liquidity mining strategies, he is hands-on in his exploration, which allows him to provide practical, real-world insights that go far beyond theoretical knowledge. This immersive experience has helped him develop a comprehensive grasp of smart contracts, token governance, and the broader implications of decentralized platforms on the future of finance.

In the NFT space, Ash’s interest is driven by the technology’s potential to reshape ownership and creativity in the digital age. He has explored various NFT projects, gaining insights into how these digital assets function within different ecosystems. His focus is on understanding the evolving relationship between creators and communities, as well as the innovative uses of blockchain technology to establish authenticity and provenance in the digital world. Ash’s research in this area often touches on the intersection of culture, technology, and community-driven projects.

A key area of his expertise lies in liquidity mining, where he has engaged with various decentralized platforms to understand how liquidity provision contributes to the functionality and security of DeFi ecosystems. Ash’s hands-on involvement has allowed him to analyze the risks, rewards, and broader implications of liquidity pools, giving him a well-rounded perspective on this integral part of DeFi. His understanding of risk management and protocol design allows him to provide insights into how these systems can be navigated effectively, with an emphasis on both opportunity and caution.

When it comes to communicating these complex topics, Ash’s writing is grounded in clarity and depth. He excels at breaking down intricate blockchain concepts into easily digestible information for a wide audience. Whether explaining the workings of decentralized exchanges or outlining the future potential of blockchain technology, Ash ensures that his content is accessible to both those new to the space and experienced participants looking for deeper insights.

Beyond DeFi and NFTs, Ash explores a wide array of emerging blockchain applications. His research spans areas like cross-chain technologies, decentralized governance, and blockchain’s potential to integrate with traditional finance. He is continuously learning and adapting to the latest developments, ensuring that his insights are both timely and relevant. His interest extends to how these technologies are creating new possibilities for decentralization, transparency, and trust in a variety of industries.

Ash’s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash’s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.

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