Is Ethereum Set For A Major Rally? Options Traders Bet Big On $3,600+ Targets For June

Samuel Edyme

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Ethereum (ETH) options for June show a marked interest in higher strike prices, focusing on levels exceeding $3,600.

Data from Deribit reveals a concentrated bet among traders on calls surpassing this price, indicating a bullish sentiment toward Ethereum’s near-term trajectory. The most favored strike price among these optimistic bets is an ambitious $6,500.

Options Market Bullish On Ethereum

Notably, options are contracts that give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy (in the case of calls) or sell (in the case of puts) the underlying asset at a specified strike price by the expiry date.

A call option is typically purchased by traders who believe the asset will increase in price, allowing them to buy at a lower rate and potentially sell at a higher market price. Conversely, put options are favored by those anticipating a decline in the asset’s price, aiming to sell at the current rate and repurchase at a lower value.

Currently, the Ethereum options market is tilting heavily towards calls, with the aggregate open interest—representing the total number of outstanding contract options—showing a preference for higher strike prices.

This concentration of calls, primarily above the $3,600 mark, suggests that a significant market segment is positioning for Ethereum to ascend to higher levels by the end of June.

Ethereum Open Interest By Expiration. | Source: Deribit

According to Deribit data, roughly 622,636 Ethereum call contracts are set to expire by June’s end, encapsulating a notional value above $1.8 billion. Such substantial positioning underscores the market’s confidence in Ethereum’s potential uplift.

Data further shows that the most substantial open interest is clustered around the $6,500 strike price, with a notional value of $193 million.

Ethereum Open Interest By Strike Price. | Source: Deribit

This concentration reflects trader optimism and supports Ethereum’s market price, especially if these options are exercised as the asset price approaches or surpasses these strike levels.

Despite the optimism embedded in these options, Ethereum is currently navigating a slight downturn. It has dropped 5.4% over the past week and 2.2% in the last 24 hours, positioning it below $2,900. This decline places even more focus on upcoming market catalysts that could significantly sway ETH’s price.

Ethereum (ETH) price is moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com — ETH price is moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

Regulatory Decisions And Technical Indicators: A Dual Influence on ETH’s Path

One significant upcoming event is the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on several applications for Ethereum-based Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which is due by May 25th.

This decision is pivotal as approval could usher in a wave of institutional investments into Ethereum, potentially catapulting its price. Conversely, rejection could dampen the bullish sentiment and lead to further pullbacks.

From a technical analysis standpoint, signs are pointing to a possible rebound. The “Bullish Cypher Pattern,” identified by the analyst Titan Of Crypto, suggests that Ethereum could be at a turning point. Currently, Ethereum is at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a key support zone in many bull markets.

This level has historically acted as a launchpad for upward price movements, hinting that Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant rise.

#Altcoins #Ethereum Bounce incoming.

The Bullish Cypher Pattern played out perfectly and all the targets got reached 🎯.#ETH is currently at the 38.2% Fibonacci retrace level also called “1st stop”. In a bull market this level holds.

I expect a bounce from this level. 🚀 pic.twitter.com/o9e6VLEREz

— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) May 12, 2024

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname - HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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