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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price To Recover $100,000: BTIG Cites Key Reasons For Optimism

Head and Shoulders On Cryptocurrency Market Cap Foretells Retest of Lows

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
Last Updated: March 31, 2020 5:00 pm
3 mins read
total cryptocurrency crypto market cap head and shoulders

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The total cryptocurrency market cap can oftentimes provide clues as to where Bitcoin and altcoins could be headed in the short-term.

The latest price action is exhibiting a pattern that looks structurally similar to a head and shoulders, which if valid and confirmed would suggest Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market will make another retest of lows.

Cryptocurrency Market Chart Forms Head and Shoulders Reversal

The coronavirus hasn’t just killed thousands, frozen humanity, and devastated the economy, it’s also sent financial markets into a tailspin, including the world of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the hundreds upon hundreds of altcoins that make up the market.

Related Reading | Fool Me Twice: Will Bitcoin Rally on April Fools’ Day Once Again? 

As fears over the rapidly spreading pandemic peaked, markets suffered a catastrophic collapse. The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw the worst losses since 1987, and the total cryptocurrency market cap was set back by over $150 billion during the last month alone.

The fall in cryptocurrencies wiped out more than half of the total market’s overall value and market capitalization, but the asset class has since recovered over 50 billion in losses and is ranging above the recent lows.

However, if an ominous pattern on the total cryptocurrency market cap chart plays out, a retest of the lows is likely in the cards.

total crypto cryptocurrency market cap head and shoulders price chart

On the total crypto market cap, a potential head and shoulders pattern can be seen forming on 4H timeframes.

Chart Pattern Target Would Signal Retest of Lows Near $130 Billion

Head and shoulders are typically reversal patterns found at the top of a trend. This suggests that the recent recovery is over, and the target of the pattern would take the total cryptocurrency market cap back to retest lows around $130 billion.

The target of the structure would stop short of setting a new, lower low below $109 billion where the market fell to just weeks prior.

Related Reading | Crypto Market Reaches Longest Stretch of Extreme Fear In Over A Year

Chart patterns aren’t valid until confirmed in hindsight. However, declining volume as the pattern continues to form are signs that confirmation is probable.

According to the pattern, the price of cryptocurrencies should fall leading into today’s monthly close, forming the second half of the right shoulder and taking prices back down to neckline support.

If that support gives in, and the total cryptocurrency market falls below the neckline, the pattern is valid and the target comes into play.

However, if bulls manage to use the right shoulder to push the price of cryptocurrencies higher, it could lead to a short squeeze that propels the total crypto market cap back to highs not seen since February or January – long before the coronavirus spilled into the market and caused a catastrophic collapse.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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