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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Is The Bitcoin Halving The Key For A BTC Price Bottom?

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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Bitcoin is still holding above $20,000 despite a massive increase in selling pressure over the past few days. The cryptocurrency has experienced some of the worst capitulation events in its history and could be read for a fresh leg-down.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Exchange Reserve Spikes Up, Selloff Not Over Yet?

At the time of writing, BTC’s price trades at $20,700 with a 7% and 31% loss in the last 24 hours and 7-days respectively. Market participants seem to be expecting new highs, but a resume in bullish momentum could catch them off guard.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC trends to the downside on the 1-day chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradignview

A pseudonym trader believes that the key to finding BTC’s price next major bottom is the Bitcoin Halving, the event that cuts this network block rewards in half every 4 years. The analyst claims that during a drawdown, the cryptocurrency finds a bottom “780-889 days after its previous” halving.

Currently, the Bitcoin network is at 766 days away from this event as it approaches a critical support zone. As seen below, when these two events coincide, BTC’s price can resume bullish momentum and reclaim previous highs.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: CryptoKaleo via Twitter

The analyst claims that the halving is part of a bullish thesis for Bitcoin as the cryptocurrency reduces its issuance, and there is less BTC available in the market. Conversely, BTC’s adoption levels trend to the upside.

The analyst shared a chart from Blockware Solutions. As seen in the chart, BTC’s price seems directly correlated to the percentage of the population adopting it and indirectly correlated to its supply issuance.

This is the ultimate bullish case for Bitcoin in one simple visual.

Exponentially growing user growth juxtaposed with Bitcoin's pre-programmed increasingly deflationary monetary policy. pic.twitter.com/s7S48K5YDt

— Will (@WClementeIII) June 9, 2022

Claiming that the world is “still early” on Bitcoin, the analyst added:

Why does the halvening model have any validity, and where does the imaginary logarithmic support curve come from? Simple supply and demand economics. The block reward is the vehicle for Bitcoin total supply inflation. BTC miners provide constant sell pressure into the market.

Should You Go All-In On Bitcoin?

Despite this thesis, the analyst claims that BTC could still face a lot of volatility and a lot of rangebound movement. In addition, BTC’s price could take time to form a convincing bottom.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Bounces Back Before Hitting 2017 Peak, Is The Bottom In?

The analyst said the following on BTC’s price potential to re-test new lows:

So, while we may still go lower – and as we may see a liquidation cascade as ugly as we’ve seen since March of 2020 when $20K finally breaks, I believe from a timing perspective – the bear market bottom isn’t as far away as it may currently feel.

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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