Solana (SOL) Retests Crucial Support Level – Is A 50% Price Drop On The Horizon?

Rubmar Garcia

3 months ago

3 mins read

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Solana (SOL) has seen a nearly 40% retrace over the past month, losing key support levels since February. As its price retests a key horizontal level, some analysts warn of a potential 50% correction to a yearly low.

Solana Loses Key Support Level

Solana has been one of the leading cryptocurrencies of the cycle, fueled by the market’s memecoin frenzy. The altcoin climbed over 270% in a year to its latest all-time high (ATH) of $270, registered nearly two months ago.

Nonetheless, SOL’s bullish sentiment has significantly decreased since January, recently plummeting to its lowest point in over a year. As a result, the cryptocurrency has dropped over 50% from its January 19 ATH.

Solana lost the key $200-$220 support zone at the start of last month, with the February market crashes sending SOL to retest its next crucial levels. After losing the $180 mark two weeks ago, its price hovered between the $130-$150 range, surging to the $179 mark at the start of March.

This week’s market correction, which saw Bitcoin (BTC) drop to $76,000 for the first time in four months, has sent Solana to new monthly lows.

On Tuesday, SOL’s price briefly dropped to $111, a level not seen since the August 2024 market crash, before bouncing back to $125. Amid the ongoing retest, pseudonym trader Crypto Busy warned that SOL must “hold this crucial support to maintain a bullish sentiment above $100.”

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez previously noted that the most crucial zone for Solana appears to be between $110 and $125, as this horizontal level served as a key support during its 2021 and 2024 rallies. The analyst suggested that “holding above this range could be key for the next move.”

SOL Price Risks Move To $60

Martinez also pointed out that Solana could be on the verge of a breakdown, as it has broken below its key level. According to the post, SOL risks a 50% crash to the $60 mark if it fails to hold the $125 support zone.

The analyst highlighted that the cryptocurrency has been forming a right angle ascending broadening pattern since March 2024, when it first reclaimed the level during this cycle.

During this period, every higher high on Solana’s chart has created a rising trendline at the top of the pattern, while the $125 support has held “as a strong horizontal support trendline.”

However, SOL’s break below this horizontal zone has increased the odds of a 50% price correction to the Q4 2023 levels. Additionally, Martinez recently warned of a potential correction based on Solana’s trading pair against Bitcoin, which started to resemble ETH/BTC’s chart.

The analyst suggested that the SOL/BTC chart was looking like Ethereum’s trading pair against BTC’s past price action, adding that if it continued to follow this pattern, the SOL/BTC chart could see a drop to the 0.0008 region. After the recent price action, the trading pair hit a 15-month low of 0.0014624 on Tuesday.

As of this writing, Solana trades at $124, a 14% decline in the weekly timeframe.

Solana, sol, solusdt — Solana’s performance in the one-week chart. Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Rubmar Garcia

Rubmar is a writer and translator who has been a crypto enthusiast for the past four years. Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology.

From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations.

In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn’t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored.

At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money.

After the failure of her home country’s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education.

Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar’s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies –or her favorite memes.

In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school’s marching band.

She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages – currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats –hers or stray.

In summary, Rubmar seeks to present entertaining and educational pieces to be enjoyed by everybody, aiming to report on the latest news and offer a unique perspective while adding a meme or a pun whenever possible.

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