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Stellar (XLM) has risen back above $0.16, signaling a modest recovery after several weeks of consolidation. The rebound comes as investors remain wary, with renewed discussions around decentralization standards and real-world blockchain adoption influencing investor sentiment.
Related Reading: XRP Rally Incoming? Analyst Forecasts March-April Recovery If This Level Breaks
Data aggregated shows XLM trading near $0.16 with a market capitalization above $5.4 billion, reflecting steady demand within a long-standing support range between $0.13 and $0.16. Market observers note that this zone has historically acted as an accumulation area during previous market cycles.
XLM's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XLMUSD on Tradingview
Stellar (XLM) Technical Recovery Meets Cautious Sentiment
Despite the recent bounce, derivatives positioning suggests traders remain cautious. Metrics tracked by Coinglass indicate declining open interest alongside rising short positions, suggesting that many market participants still expect limited near-term upside.
Technically, XLM continues to trade below key moving averages clustered around $0.18–$0.21, keeping the broader trend under pressure. Analysts view a sustained move above $0.18 as an early signal of structural improvement, while failure to hold the $0.15 support could reopen downside risks toward $0.14.
Some market analysts describe the current phase as a positioning period rather than a confirmed breakout. Momentum indicators have begun stabilizing, but confirmation of a longer-term reversal would likely require acceptance above the $0.30 level, an area widely viewed as a structural pivot.
Adoption Narrative Supports Long-Term Outlook
Beyond price action, Stellar’s investment thesis continues to center on cross-border payments and tokenized assets. The network’s partnerships with companies, including MoneyGram and Circle, have expanded its role in remittances and stablecoin settlement infrastructure.
According to reports from the Stellar Development Foundation, network activity and account growth have steadily increased, particularly in emerging markets where payment costs remain high.
Analysts argue that expanding stablecoin usage and institutional settlement experiments could strengthen long-term utility. Some projections suggest that reclaiming higher resistance zones could pave the way for significantly higher valuations by 2026.
Decentralization Debate Adds New Layer of Scrutiny
At the same time, Stellar has become part of a wider ideological debate within the crypto industry. Justin Bons, founder of Cyber Capital, recently criticized several payment-focused blockchains, arguing that networks relying on curated validator structures risk compromising decentralization principles.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Surges 8% — Key Drivers Behind The Recovery Toward $70,000
Supporters counter that enterprise-friendly governance models prioritize compliance, speed, and predictable settlement, trade-offs that may appeal to financial institutions adopting blockchain technology.
Cover image from ChatGPT, XLMUSD chart on Tradingview
