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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

This Bitcoin Metric Hints At Bottom, Is BTC Out The Woods?

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
3 years ago
2 mins read
Picture of a gold bitcoin with a stack of gold bitcoins next to it and a red downward trend line behind it

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Bitcoin has chosen violence. The first crypto by market cap trades at $57,873 with a 3% loss in the daily and an 11.2% loss in the weekly chart.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC on a downtrend in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

After making a push close to $60,000 Bitcoin was rejected and has trended to the downside for the past 2 hours. The benchmark crypto might have reacted to the potential re-appointment of the U.S. FED Chair Jerome Powell to his position for a second term.

Related Reading | This Bitcoin Metric Hints At Bottom, Is BTC Out The Woods?

Data from Material Indicators suggest the move to the upside was driven by investors with orders with an estimated value above $1 million (whales). As seen in the chart below, these investors, along with retail investors and others with bid orders above $1,000 sold as soon as BTC’s price reached $59,000.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD FC
FireChart BTC/USD Source: Material Indicators

As the chart shows, there is almost no resistance or support for Bitcoin at the levels. To the downside, significant supports (below the blue line, BTC’s price, in the chart) sit at around $55,000, and to the upside, $60,000 stands as the biggest resistance (above the blue line in the chart) for BTC’s price in the short term.

According to data from Glassnode, the Short-Term Long Term Realized Valued (SLRV) for Bitcoin is back to below 0.4. As seen in the chart below, whenever BTC’s price hits these levels, the cryptocurrency tends to appreciate.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Bounces To $58K, Why Bears Could Spill More Blood

Pseudonym analyst On-Chain College commented the following on what this indicator suggests for Bitcoin in higher timeframes:

What I find most interesting is the relationship of this ratio between now and the run up earlier this year. Notice the SLRV Ratio rising as price rose in the beginning of this year vs. a steady decline/consolidation as price rose a few months ago… Bullish

Bitcoin Still On A Moon Mission?

Despite the recent downwards price action, Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain bullish. Additional data provided by Glassnode noted an increase in the number of addresses with an estimated balance above $0.

This metric indicates a rise in adoption most likely triggered by the approval of the Bitcoin Law in El Salvador and the growth and its second-layer solution Lightning Network. Since BTC’s price made a run from its yearly open ($29,000) to an all-time high ($69,000), the market became overheated.

The approval of the first BTC-linked ETF in the U.S. didn’t contribute to the above with the derivatives sector recording an increase in positive funding rates. This metric has returned to a neutral state after BTC’s recent crash.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Resumes Decline, What Could Trigger More Downsides

However, experts believe that BTC still needs to flash out the short-term holders and speculators before re-entering price discovery. NewsBTC’s Editorial Director Tony Spilotro expects Bitcoin to retest support around $56,000 in the short-term following a similar pattern that in September before BTC broke away from a previous range and above $65,000 for the first time since its inception.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC dancing on support in the 4-hour chart. Source: Tony Spilotro via TonyTrades BTC Trading Channel
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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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