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Breaking News: HYPE Soars Beyond $40 Following Robinhood Listing: What’s Next For Hyperliquid’s Price?
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Breaking News: HYPE Soars Beyond $40 Following Robinhood Listing: What’s Next For Hyperliquid’s Price?

US Spot Ethereum ETFs Poised To Draw $1.2 Billion Monthly: Research Firm

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
1 year ago
3 mins read
Ethereum ETF news prediction

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The US spot Ethereum ETFs are set to launch on Tuesday, July 23rd, with projections indicating potential monthly inflows of $1.2 billion. This forecast comes from ASXN, a research firm specializing in crypto finance analytics.

US Spot Ethereum ETFs Could Surprise To The Upside

At the core of ASXN’s analysis is the comparison between the newly introduced Ethereum ETFs and the previously launched Bitcoin ETFs. One of the critical differentiators highlighted in the report is the fee structure. The Ethereum ETFs, while mirroring the fee approach of Bitcoin ETFs, introduce a notably competitive twist with Grayscale’s new ‘mini trust’ Ethereum product. Initially disclosed at a 0.25% management fee, the fee was quickly adjusted to 0.15% after competitive pressures from other low-fee products like Blackrock’s ETHA ETF.

Grayscale has strategically re-positioned 10% of its Ethereum Trust (ETHE) Assets Under Management (AUM) to this mini trust, offering ETHE holders an exchange to the new ETF at no tax liability—a move aimed at retaining capital within its ecosystem and providing a more attractive fee structure to fee-sensitive investors.

“Grayscale’s strategic adjustment of its fee structure and the innovative mini trust offering are likely to redefine the competitive landscape of Ethereum ETFs,” an ASXN analyst commented in the report. “This could not only stem potential outflows but also attract a broader base of institutional investors due to the more favorable fee dynamics.”

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ASXN’s report also covers the potential market impact of the inflow of funds into Ethereum ETFs. Utilizing global data from existing crypto Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), the research draws parallels and contrasts between the Ethereum and Bitcoin markets. Historically, ETPs have been overweight in Bitcoin relative to Ethereum based on AUM ratios compared to market cap ratios. This has shifted slightly with Ethereum gaining more traction and investment confidence.

Referring to other research reports on potential ETF inflows, the report notes: “There have been many estimates for the ETF flows, some of which we have highlighted below. Taking the estimates and standardizing them yields an average estimate in the $1bn/month region. Standard Chartered Bank offers the highest estimate with $2bn/month, while JP Morgan is on the low end at $500m/month.”

ASXN’s estimate lies at $800 to $1.2 billion per month. “This was calculated by taking a market cap weighted average of monthly Bitcoin inflows and scaling this by the market cap of ETH,” the firm notes. Furthermore, they backed their estimates with the global crypto ETP data and “are open to an upside surprise given the unique dynamics of ETHE trading at par prior to the launch and the introduction of the mini trust.”

The Reflexivity Of ETH

In terms of liquidity, the report suggests that Ethereum’s market dynamics are distinct from those of Bitcoin. Although Ethereum’s overall liquidity is slightly lower, the impact of new ETF inflows could be more pronounced due to Ethereum’s lower ‘float’—the amount of an asset readily available for trading. “Ethereum’s liquidity profile, compounded by its smaller float relative to Bitcoin, implies that inflows into the ETF could have a disproportionately positive effect on its price,” states the report.

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CBOE Global Markets Lists Spot Ethereum ETFs, Confirms Launch Date

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Moreover, ASXN’s analysis is devoted to the reflexivity inherent in Ethereum’s market. According to the report, inflows into Ethereum ETFs could lead to higher Ethereum prices, which in turn could increase activity and investments in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and other Ethereum-based applications. This feedback loop is supported by Ethereum’s tokenomics, specifically the EIP-1559 mechanism which burns a portion of transaction fees, effectively reducing the total supply of Ethereum over time.

“The reflexivity of Ethereum’s market extends beyond simple supply and demand dynamics due to its integral role in DeFi and other blockchain-based applications,” ASXN explains and adds, “as the price of Ethereum increases, it could significantly enhance the underlying fundamentals of the DeFi platforms, driving further investments and creating a self-reinforcing cycle of value appreciation.”

The report concludes with strategic insights for traditional finance (TradFi) institutions considering Ethereum investments. It argues that the narrative around Ethereum as a multi-faceted platform for decentralized applications provides a compelling value proposition beyond the “digital gold” narrative typically associated with Bitcoin.

ASXN also speculates on the future potential for a staked ETH ETF, which could attract TradFi players with its yield-generating capabilities. “The possibility of a staked ETH ETF could become a game-changer, offering traditional finance a way to engage with crypto assets that not only appreciate in value but also generate yield,” the report suggests.

At press time, ETH traded at $3,494.

Ethereum price
ETH price reclaimed the 0.618 Fibonacci level, 1-week chart | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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