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The Worst Case For XRP This Cycle? Just A Giga Rally To $19, Says Analyst

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
1 week ago
2 mins read
XRP price news

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XRP’s weekly structure has seldom looked as compressed as it does in the chart published this morning by independent analyst Maelius. The view pulls data from the BITSTAMP feed and applies a 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) in blue, currently tracking at roughly $1.78.

This XRP Chart Screams 2017

Price is perched above that dynamic support zone at $2.25, adding 3.33% so far in the present weekly candle, and has spent the past four months knitting out what the analyst calls a “giga bull flag.” The flag is defined by a sequence of progressively lower weekly highs that stop just short of the $3.40 line and higher swing-lows that bottom near $1.61, creating a converging wedge whose lower edge and the rising EMA50 now coincide.

XRP price analysis
XRP price analysis | Source: X @MaeliusCrypto

Maelius overlays the 2017 XRP advance—scaled to the current log axis—to illustrate why the pattern matters. In the previous cycle the token erupted vertically once the flag was resolved, blasting from sub-dollar prices to a peak above $3.00 in a matter of weeks.

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The black schematic sketched on the right-hand margin recreates that move and projects it forward: once consolidation ends, the fractal implies a breakout first through the $4 shelf and ultimately into the double-digit territory. The label “XRP 2017” is pinned to the $19 mark, the level where the composite trace tops out on this overlay.

Momentum data beneath the chart reinforce the comparison. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) printed two pronounced peaks in the 2017 run, separated by a flat plateau; Maelius has marked those crests “1” and “2” on both the historical section and the current range.

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The first modern-cycle surge sent RSI briefly into the high-80s earlier this year and has since cooled back toward the mid-40s, a zone the analyst shades “FLAT.” An arrow then extends toward the mid-90s, signalling that Maelius expects at least one more momentum pulse before the structure is exhausted.

From a purely technical perspective the most immediate levels to watch are the upper flag boundary near $2.50 and the EMA-anchored support around $1.80. A weekly close above the former would complete the flag and open the way to the $4.40 and $6.00 horizontals visible on the price scale, while a decisive break below $1.80 would invalidate the pattern and leave the market leaning on the $1.30 cluster where the EMA turned higher last year.

Crucially, the analyst frames his outlook in risk-aware terms: even the “worst-case” scenario he sketches still includes one final impulse wave. “Worst case is there is only 1 impulse left. Bearish, right?!” he writes.

As always, traders will be looking for confirmation from volume and broader market sentiment before treating the fractal as more than an instructive historical rhyme, but the chart makes clear that a single weekly candle settling above the $2.50 handle could be all it takes to remind participants of how quickly XRP has moved in the past.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.23.

XRP price
XRP needs to reclaim the 0.382 Fib, 1-day chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALLE, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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