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Breaking News: Bitcoin Slides Toward $85,000 Despite Progress On US Crypto Market Structure Bill
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Slides Toward $85,000 Despite Progress On US Crypto Market Structure Bill

XRP Consolidates Above $2 As Volume Z-Score Signals A Quiet Market

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: January 13, 2026 2:00 am
4 mins read
XRP Consolidates Above $2 As Volume Z-Score Signals A Quiet Market

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XRP is attempting to stabilize above the $2 level after enduring several days of sustained selling pressure, as the broader market searches for direction. While price action has cooled from recent highs, the latest data suggests that activity around XRP remains balanced rather than distressed. According to metrics shared by Arab Chain via CryptoQuant, trading behavior shows no signs of panic or speculative excess despite the recent pullback.

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Data sourced from Binance indicates that XRP’s 30-day Z-Score for trading volume is currently around 0.44. This reading places current volume slightly above its 30-day average, but still well within a historically normal range. Importantly, Z-Score values above +2 are typically associated with aggressive inflows and speculative surges, while deeply negative readings tend to signal market apathy or liquidity drying up. XRP’s current position in the positive-neutral zone suggests neither scenario is playing out.

This context matters. Rather than reflecting capitulation or renewed hype, the data points to a market that is digesting prior moves. As XRP holds above $2, the absence of abnormal volume spikes implies that recent selling pressure may be easing, setting the stage for consolidation or a more deliberate next move once conviction returns.

XRP Volume Z-Score Signals Market Equilibrium

The report explains that this behavior suggests XRP’s recent price action was not fueled by a speculative frenzy, but instead reflected relatively balanced trading between buyers and sellers. Despite XRP managing to hold above the $2 level, the absence of an elevated volume Z-Score indicates that the market is not experiencing excessive excitement. Rather, conditions point to a phase of consolidation or potential accumulation following the volatility seen in previous weeks.

Binance XRP Volume Z-Score | Source: CryptoQuant
Binance XRP Volume Z-Score | Source: CryptoQuant

This type of Z-Score reading commonly appears during periods of anticipation, when participants wait for a clearer directional catalyst. In such environments, price can remain range-bound as liquidity stays stable and neither side gains decisive control.

If XRP’s price begins to move higher while the Z-Score rises above the 1.5–2.0 range, it would suggest fresh capital entering the market and could mark the beginning of a stronger, momentum-driven advance. That combination would provide clearer confirmation of renewed demand.

On the other hand, if trading volume contracts further and the Z-Score remains near zero or slips into negative territory, it would imply fading interest. Under those conditions, XRP could face renewed downside pressure or extend its sideways consolidation as liquidity thins.

The current Z-Score does not deliver a clear buy or sell signal. Instead, the data highlights a stable market environment. Any meaningful move now requires volume confirmation to establish its robustness.

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XRP Price Struggles to Reclaim Key Moving Averages

XRP is currently trading near the $2.05 level after a prolonged period of selling pressure, as shown on the daily chart. The recent rebound from sub-$1.90 levels suggests that buyers are attempting to defend the psychological $2.00 zone, which has acted as an important pivot throughout this cycle. However, price action remains structurally weak, with XRP still trading below its major moving averages.

XRP daily consolidation | Source: XRPUSDT chart on TradingView
XRP daily consolidation | Source: XRPUSDT chart on TradingView

The chart shows XRP firmly below the 200-day moving average (red line) near the $2.55–$2.60 area, a level that now represents a critical medium-term resistance. The 100-day and 50-day moving averages (green and blue lines) are also sloping downward, reinforcing the bearish trend that began after the failed breakout above $3.50 in late 2025. Each attempt to recover has been capped by these dynamic resistance levels, signaling persistent distribution rather than aggressive accumulation.

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From a market structure perspective, XRP continues to print lower highs and lower lows, despite the short-term bounce. Volume has remained relatively muted during the recent recovery, suggesting limited conviction behind the move. This supports the idea that the rebound is corrective rather than the start of a new impulsive trend.

For bullish momentum to regain credibility, XRP must reclaim and hold above the $2.30–$2.40 region, followed by a break above the 200-day moving average. Until then, the prevailing structure favors consolidation or further downside risk.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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