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Breaking News: Canary Capital's CEO Confirms Spot Hedera And Litecoin ETFs Will Begin Trading Tomorrow

Is XRP Headed For A 16% Drop? Signal Flashes Familiar Warning

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
1 hour ago
2 mins read
XRP newsq

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Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has cautioned that XRP may be approaching another downswing after the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential flashed a fresh sell signal on the daily timeframe. In a new video and transcript shared alongside a TradingView chart of the Binance XRP/USDT perpetual contract, Martinez said, “XRP could be bound for a correction. The TD Sequential Indicator on the daily chart has been remarkably accurate in calling XRP’s trend reversals over the past three months, and it has just flashed another sell signal.”

Is XRP Poised For A 16%+ Drawdown?

Martinez anchored the call in a sequence of recent TD prints that he argues lined up with notable reversals. “On July 22nd, a sell signal resulted in a 24% correction. On August 8th, a sell signal led to a 17% pullback. On August 23rd, a sell signal resulted in a 13% drop. On September 15th, another sell signal preceded a 13% dip. On September 27th, a buy signal resulted in a 12% rebound. On October 22nd, a buy signal led to a 14% surge. Now, the TD Sequential Indicator just flashed a sell signal, suggesting that a pullback may be underway.”

XRP price analysis
XRP price analysis | Source: X @ali_charts

The above chart depicts the daily candles for the XRP/USDT perpetual on Binance with TD markers annotated at the cited swing points. It shows drawdowns and rebounds close to the magnitudes Martinez lists, with boxes highlighting approximate moves of about −23.9%, −17.75%, −12.34% and −12.89% following earlier sell counts, and rebounds of roughly +12.26% and +14.25% after the late-September and late-October buy signals.

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The latest candle is labeled with a new “9” sell tag near the $2.64 area shown on the chart, underscoring the analyst’s warning that the next impulse could skew lower if the pattern persists.

TD Sequential signals are timing tools, not directional guarantees, and their effectiveness is typically judged ex-post by how consistently they appear near exhaustion points. Martinez’s argument is empirical and narrowly scoped to the recent three-month sample visible on his chart, where the recorded signals coincided with local peaks and troughs to a notable degree.

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The present setup therefore pivots on whether XRP respects the latest sell print as it did in July, August, and mid-September, or whether the market breaks that cadence as it occasionally does in trending environments.

Martinez is not projecting targets or durations beyond the historical analogues he enumerates, and the only explicit inference he draws is that another corrective phase is statistically plausible given the recent behavior of the TD signals on the daily chart. Based on the four most recent TD sell signals (−24%, −17%, −13%, −13%), the average drawdown is ~16.75%, which—applied to the chart’s current price around $2.64—would imply potential downside toward roughly $2.20 if the pattern repeats.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.64.

XRP price
XRP hovers below the 0.618 Fib, 1-day chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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