Analysis Technical

Bitcoin (BTC) Bull-Run Reaches Crucial Juncture, But Breakout Likely

Aayush Jindal | April 4, 2019 | 6:38 am
Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis BTC USD
Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Bull-Run Reaches Crucial Juncture, But Breakout Likely

Aayush Jindal | April 4, 2019 | 6:38 am
  • Bitcoin price settled above the key $5,000 hurdle and tested the $5,240 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • The price faced a strong selling interest near the main technical barrier at $5,240-5,260.
  • There is a major connecting bullish trend line formed with support near $4,200 on the daily chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair corrected recently, but it is likely to make another breakout attempt above $5,240.

Bitcoin price started a massive bull-run above the $4,500 and $5,000 resistances against the US Dollar. BTC is currently struggling near the $5,240 resistance, but more upsides seems possible.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In the past two days, we saw a nasty upward move above the $4,500 resistance in bitcoin price against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair even climbed above the $5,000 resistance and settled well above the 100-day simple moving average. During the recent rise, there was a break above a couple of important resistances near the $4,000 and $4,200 levels (green area). It opened the doors for a sharp rally above the $4,800 and $5,000 levels.

More importantly, there was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last significant drop from the $6,559 high to $3,122 low. The price settled above the $5,000 resistance area and recently tested the next major hurdle near $5,240-5,260. It represents the previous swing low near $5,250 (red line). Besides, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last significant drop from the $6,559 high to $3,122 low is also near the $5,240 level. Therefore, the recent downside correction was from a crucial technical resistance near $5,250.

Having said that, downsides are likely to be limited since there are many supports near $5,000, $4,900 and $4,840. If there is an extended correction, the price could test the $4,600 or $4,550 support. There is also a major connecting bullish trend line formed with support near $4,200 on the daily chart of the BTC/USD pair. The main support is near the previous breakout area near the $4,200 level.

Bitcoin Price Analysis BTC Chart

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price clearly moved into a strong uptrend above $5,000. It is currently facing a crucial resistance near $5,240, above which there are chances of more upsides towards the $5,500 or $5,750 level. The final stop for buyers could be $6,000 if there is a proper follow through above $5,500. On the downside, buyers are likely to remain active near $4,840 or $4,600 in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Daily MACD – The MACD is placed heavily in the bullish zone.

Daily RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD climbed above the 80 level and currently flat near 87.

Major Support Levels – $4,840 followed by $4,600.

Major Resistance Levels – $5,250, $5,500 and $5,750.

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