NewsBTC
No Result
View All Result
  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play GamesTry
  • CasinosTry
Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning
  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play GamesTry
  • CasinosTry
Bitcoin News
No Result
View All Result
Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning

Post-Halving Bitcoin to Hit $100,000 in 2020? It’s Unlikely, Data Shows

Nick Chong
Nick Chong
1 year ago
3 mins read

Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

In around 300 days, Bitcoin (BTC) will experience what is known as a “halving” or “halvening”. This event, which occurs in predictable four-year cycles, sees the amount of the cryptocurrency issued every ten minutes halve, this time from 12.5 coins to 6.25 coins per block.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Bears Ramp Up Selling Pressure as Weekly Close Looms; Factors & Trends

This is Bitcoin’s monetary policy, which is practically set in stone due to the consensus mechanisms that Satoshi Nakamoto implemented into his brainchild.

While the halving may seem mundane, with it being something that the mainstream and media outlets can easily gloss over, Bitcoin investors have clutched to these events as precursors to bull rallies.

Just look to the below chart. As the long-term, logarithmic chart of BTC’s price history accentuates, the halvings, marked by the black vertical lines, were what seemingly kicked off parabolic moves higher, during which the cryptocurrency market saw spurts of growth that can be defined by orders of magnitude.

Halvening centric perspective on Bitcoin price. H/T @StoicTrader_ & @MLescrauwaet pic.twitter.com/89trRlSOqd

— Tuur Demeester (@TuurDemeester) May 16, 2019

Due to this chart, which effectively implies that block reward reductions are what helps the Bitcoin price appreciate, investors have been eagerly awaiting the next halving event, slated to occur in mid-May 2020. Per a new study though, all this hype may just be unfounded.

Halvings Unlikely to Boost BTC or LTC: What?

It may seem crazy to believe, but research completed by Strix Leviathan, a Seattle-based crypto startup, and first spotted by CryptoSlate indicates that halvings may not have as much of an effect on the price of Bitcoin-based assets as the hype indicates.

The analysis of data on 32 halvings across 24 crypto assets, which includes Bitcoin and Litecoin, suggests that there is no clear evidence that crypto assets that see their emission halve “outperform the broader market in the months leading up to and following a reduction in miner rewards.”

In fact, Strix’s researchers suggest that for Bitcoin in particular, halvings actually act as a negative catalyst leading up to the event, which goes somewhat against the narrative put forth by many on Crypto Twitter.

Strix attributes the hype around these block reward reduction events to “limited sample sizes and historical data”, coupled with the idea that fundamentally, a reduction in Bitcoin and Litecoin issuance should result in some form of positive price action, barring that demand for cryptocurrencies shrinks that is.

Bitcoin May Still Appreciate

While there may be not material rallies before and after halvings, a model from a prominent cryptocurrency statistician suggests halving events should have a long-term effect on prices, the price of Bitcoin anyway.

Related Reading: Don’t Hold Your Breath, Bitcoin to Outperform Altcoins For Now

Per previous reports from NewsBTC, this model is from PlanB, a popular analyst in the Bitcoin space. He suggests that the stock-to-flow ratio (SF) of a precious commodity (gold, silver, and Bitcoin) can be related to its total market capitalization. The higher the SF ratio — meaning the lower the inflation rate that a commodity has — the higher the value of the asset should be.

This is becoming scary: using Oct instead of Dec data, Stock-to-Flow model fit improves to 99.5% R2! Model error was mainly caused by Nov2013 and Dec2017 ATH, so sampling without ATH gives less noise. Predicted #bitcoin prices increase: $100K (2020+), $1M (2024+), $10M (2028+)… pic.twitter.com/1WX6LOVxZW

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) July 14, 2019

One of PlanB’s models, which fits Bitcoin’s valuation to a 99.5% R2, suggests that should BTC continue to follow the model to an eerie degree of accuracy, it could reach over $100,000 a pop after 2020’s halving event. The thing is, the model doesn’t predict when exactly that milestone will be breached, only that it makes sense from a statistical standpoint.

Even one of the analyst’s less optimistic models, which uses other statistics, implies that with the halving, Bitcoin’s market capitalization could $1 trillion, which would give BTC a fair value of around $55,000 a pop.

As to what will cause this nascent asset to rally to these levels, PlanB wrote that money from silver, gold, negative interest rate economies, authoritarian and capital control-rife states, billionaires looking for a quantitative easing hedge, and institutional investors will eventually flood into this space.

So what are PlanB’s models and Strix’s report saying? Well, when digested as a whole, their research suggests that Bitcoin could hit upwards of $55,000 after the halving, but not as a direct result of it and only sometime after 2020.

Featured Image from Shutterstock
Tweet123Share196ShareSend
Nick Chong
Nick Chong

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Related News

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Break Above $118,000 Just The Start, Analyst Unveils ‘Golden Number’

Bitcoin has rallied massively over the past seven days by posting an impressive price gain of nearly 9% after climbing...

Scott Matherson 8 hours ago

Pi Network Turns Heads With Symbolic Transfers, $20M Volume Spike

The Pi Network coin dipped to $0.46 today, slipping 6% in the past 24 hours. Yet trading volume jumped to...

Christian Encila 9 hours ago

Web2 Habits, Web3 Rewards: How FUNToken Makes Crypto Feel Natural

Millions of users spend hours each day engaged with mobile games, chat communities, and social platforms. They expect seamless interfaces,...

News BTC 10 hours ago
Load More

Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

Related News

Gemini分析比特幣升勢帶動示新牛市周期 Bitcoin Hyper等Layer 2項目引爆關注!

Kelvin Lee 18 minutes ago
Cardano price

Cardano Price Explodes 30% In Past Week — Analyst Calls $5 Next Market Top

Opeyemi Sule 1 hour ago
Bitcoin

Bitcoin Bulls In Cloud 9? Analyst Identifies Where Risk Lies

Opeyemi Sule 5 hours ago

Premium Sponsors

Press Releases

  • ビットコインが11万8,000ドルの最高値を記録する中で注目すべき仮想通貨プレセール

    ...

    9 hours ago
  • 仮想通貨 おすすめ|急騰するDogwifhatとFartcoin、注目の低価格ミームコインとは?

    仮想通貨...

    9 hours ago
  • 新しい仮想通貨価格動向|話題の最新コインの成長可能性

    ...

    9 hours ago
  • アルトコイン注目銘柄|2025年7月第2週に見るべき3銘柄

    ...

    9 hours ago
  • ロビンフッドが1ドルから始めるETHとSOLのステーキングを開始──今注目の仮想通貨投資はこれだ?

    ...

    10 hours ago

Newsletter

Be the first to get the latest important crypto news & events to your inbox.

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

About Us

NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Company

  • About Us
  • Advertising
  • Contact Us
  • Privacy Center

Social

© 2025 NewsBTC. All Rights Reserved.

  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play Games
  • Casinos
Advertise

© 2025 NewsBTC. All Rights Reserved.

This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy Center or Cookie Policy.