Analyst: Bitcoin More Likely to Surge 50% to $14,000 Than Fall

Nick Chong

5 years ago

3 mins read

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Over the past few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has found itself in a lull. This is for good reason; after a 42% surge in under 24 hours, it makes sense for the cryptocurrency market to want to take a breather.

Despite the fact that it makes sense for Bitcoin to see a period of calm and a slight retracement after a monumental surge higher, some analysts have flipped bearish, believe it or not.

In fact, as reported by this outlet previously, one trader expects for BTC to enter the high-$6,000s or low-$7,000s in the coming weeks. The idea here is that that region is where there exists a confluence of technical levels: the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement of the $3,200 to $14,000 move, the bottom of a descending channel, amongst other important levels.

But, with the candle for the month of October recently closing relatively strong above $9,000, some say it is only a matter of time before the crypto market continues to mount higher, potentially to kickstart the second phase of this ongoing bull cycle.

Bulls Readying to Push Bitcoin Higher

Trader HornHairs has noted that he “likes the chance we hit $14,000 before $7,000.” But why, exactly, does the trader expect Bitcoin to surge higher by 55% from the current price of $9,200 over the alternative scenario of a collapse to $7,000.

Well, it has much to do with where Bitcoin has just bounced from and where it closed October. He remarked in a recent tweet that with Bitcoin bouncing strong and holding above the one-month bullish breaker, the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the entire cycle, the Point of Control as defined by the volume profile, and the yearly pivot, BTC is leaning rather bullish.

Fundamentals Support Crypto Growth

The fundamentals support the growth of Bitcoin.

On Wednesday, Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, revealed that the Federal Open Market Committee has lowered its benchmark funds rate by 0.25% (25 basis points) 5o a range of 1.5% to 1.75%. This is the Federal Reserve’s third cut this year.

While expected, it is believed that dropping interest rates, which equate to liquidity injections into financial markets, benefit the largely “risk-on” Bitcoin, along with the U.S. market. Speaking to Fox Business earlier this year, known cryptocurrency analyst Tom Lee said the following on rate cuts:

“Bitcoin’s becoming increasingly a macrohedge for investors against things that could go wrong. Rate cuts are adding liquidity. Liquidity is pushing money into all these risk assets and also hedges, which is helping Bitcoin.”

Aside from fundamentals, we’ve seen the blockchain pass a key milestone. As pointed out by Yassine Elmandjra, a crypto asset analyst at markets research/fund management firm ARK Invest, the Bitcoin network has now seen $1 billion worth of transaction fees paid. Cumulative fee revenue may not mean much in and of itself, so here’s a way to put it that may put this statistic into perspective:

Tuur Demeester, the founding partner of Adamant Capital, framed this statistic best when he wrote on Twitter the other day that this effectively means that “$1B funding the world’s strongest firewall.

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.