Why XRP’s Waning Momentum May Be The Calm Before The Storm Surge

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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XRP investors are eager to see their altcoin of choice get back a lot closer to all-time high valuations. The crypto market underperformer recently regained its number three rank thanks to an over 45% one-week rally.

However, things have since cooled down. Why is momentum currently waning, and what does this mean for an extended recovery? The same indicator on lower timeframes points to a pause from bulls, but on high timeframes suggests this is the calm before the storm. What can altcoin investors expect?

XRP Rebound Takes Pause, But Are Bulls Preparing An Even Stronger Push?

A rebound from nearly three years of a bear market takes time to recover from. First, momentum from the downtrend needs to decline, while positive momentum from bulls begins to build. After a phase of equilibrium where supply and demand reach a stalemate when the odds tip once again in the favor of bulls, a new uptrend begins.

That is exactly what XRP investors have been hoping for, after watching the asset fall over 99% from its all-time high of over $3.50 token. At the low this past Black Thursday, Ripple traded at just ten cents briefly.

The epic fall set the bottom and from there the asset has recovered over 200%, potentially giving bulls confidence to turn things around for good.

XRPUSD Daily MACD Bearish Divergence & Overbought | Source: TradingView

But before that happens, the recent rally appears to be pausing or running out of momentum. According to the moving average convergence divergence indicator, a momentum measuring tool, the asset has reached overbought conditions. There’s also a bearish divergence on the MACD on daily frames.

These factors indicate that a temporary pullback is likely in the asset and a pause in price action possible. But it may simply be the calm before a major surge in XRP.

Monthly MACD Flips Green For First Time In Two Years, Bullish Crossover Calls For New Uptrend

A ripple-effect may have already begun the moment the monthly MACD turned bullish for the first time in over two years.

The same tool that is showing a pause in bullish momentum and overbought conditions on daily timeframes, on higher timeframes is signaling that a new uptrend is only just now starting.

XRPUSD Monthly MACD Bullish Crossover | Source: TradingView

The moment the trend turned bearish, a red, negative reading on the MACD’s histogram began and lasted all throughout the bear market. A green flip on monthly timeframes may suggest that a new bull market has started, but hasn’t fully ramped up yet.

When the two moving averages converge and cross, it can act as a powerful buy or sell signal. This bullish crossover is underway right now on XRPUSD monthly charts, coinciding with a 200% rally already, a green flip on the histogram, and an environment ripe for inflation.

In the past, XRP turning bullish took valuations from under a penny to over $3 in a year. Is the recent slowing momentum just the calm before Ripple’s major storm surge?

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
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Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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