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Home Technical analysis

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Trend Overwhelmingly Bearish

Aayush Jindal by Aayush Jindal
1 year ago
in Technical analysis
Reading Time: 2min read
Bitcoin price BTC decline
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  • After struggling to recover above $7,300, bitcoin price started a fresh decline against the US Dollar.
  • The price is currently trading in a bearish zone just above the $7,000 support area.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $7,260 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The price is likely to accelerate its decline if there is a downside break below the $7,000 support.

Bitcoin price is back in a downtrend below $7,200 against the US Dollar. BTC could continue to move down below $7,000 and $6,880 in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis (BTC)

This past week, bitcoin struggled to recover above the $7,280 and $7,300 resistance levels against the US Dollar. Moreover, BTC price remained well below the $7,400 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

The recent decline was such that the price declined below the $7,100 support area. A new monthly low is formed near $7,008 and the price is currently consolidating losses.

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An initial resistance is near the $7,100 level. Additionally, the first hurdle is near the $7,165 level or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $7,668 high to $7,008 low.

The next major resistance is near the $7,280 level. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $7,260 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. Above the trend line, the 100 simple moving average (4-hours) is near the $7,340 area.

More importantly, the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $7,668 high to $7,008 low is near the $7,338 level. Therefore, the $7,280 and $7,340 levels are important hurdles for a decent recovery in the near term.

A clear break above the $7,340 level is likely to open the doors for more upsides above the $7,400 level. On the downside, an immediate support is near the $7,000 level.

If there is a downside break below the $7,000 support, there is a risk of a sharp decline below the $6,880 support. The next major support is near the $6,600 and $6,500 levels, where buyers are likely to appear.

Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin Price

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is clearly trading below a couple of important resistances near the $7,280 level. The next move could be either a sharp decline below $7,000 or a decent recovery above the $7,280 resistance area.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly gaining bearish momentum.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is still declining and it is approaching the oversold area.

Major Support Level – $7,000

Major Resistance Level – $7,280

Tags: bitcoinbtc
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Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal

Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Market Strategist with a background in IT and financial markets. He specialises in market strategies and technical analysis, and has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets.

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