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bitcoin pump and dump
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Bitcoin Bulls And Bears Alike Beware Of Potential Pump And Dump Fractal

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
1 year ago
in BTC
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Bitcoin price has been stuck trading within a small symmetrical triangle. These continuation patterns tend to suggest another equal sized move down is coming. However, a sweep of lows would “perfect” a buy setup that could initiate a pump and dump fractal from years ago.

The pump and dump would be designed to further confuse sentiment and take advantage of the sudden shift to low liquidity and thin order books. Here’s what the fractal looks like and what it says about the coming price action.

Market Timing: Why You Should Wait For The “Perfect” Buy Setup

Bitcoin price action is confusing at the moment. The cryptocurrency is consolidating, but unable to break any lower, nor have bulls been able to stage a rebound.

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Related Reading | Market Timing: Why Bitcoin Could Sweep Lows Before A Bounce

The weekly downtrend has now reached a critical point, however. The weekly TD Sequential indicator is now at a 9 count. The market timing tool hints at a possible reversal, but a TD 9 is much more effective when “perfected.”

bitcoin pump and dump TD 9

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The TD 9 count remains to be perfected. Is a sweep of lows next? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The parameters of a “perfect” buy setup involves the final 8 or 9 candle sweeping the lows of the previous candles. This means for the weekly buy setup to be just right, below $30,000 and support must be taken out.

The scenario bizarrely almost matches exactly the crash from above $10,000 to $7,800. Lows then were swept to $7,200, perfecting the buy setup and leading to one of the largest intraday pumps in the history of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Pump And Dump Fractal Examined: What To Expect

Examining the two structures more closely shows just how accurate this fractal could end up being. The key differences between the price action then and now, was that there was even more upside pressure creating several more tops instead of the blow-off of June 2019.

Still, the market structure is similar, as is support, resistance, and price action. With the timing also on the side of coincidences, along with a set of false breakout to the upside, another fakeout to the downside would lure and trap shorts expecting the target of the symmetrical triangle to be reached – and instead find themselves squeeze back to $50,000.

bitcoin pump and dump fractal

The fractal suggests a massive pump and dump is coming | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

At that point, the fractal suggests that target is ultimately reached, albeit much later on around Black Thursday. The target of the symmetrical triangle based on the measure rule is somewhere around $23,000 per BTC. The ease in which whales can move the price of Bitcoin back and forth is due to the sudden default in liquidity and thinner order books than they were just weeks ago.

Related Reading | What The Last Leg Up In The Crypto Bull Market Could Look Like

However, as similar as the fractal may look and sentiment just right, there’s no telling what might happen and the past isn’t often a good indicator of future performance. Is this time different?

Featured image from iStockPhotos, Charts from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinbtcbtcusdBTCUSDTcryptofractalTD Sequentialxbtxbtus
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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