Bitcoin Thanksgiving Day Data Reveals Peak Possible Within 30 Days

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Today across the United States, the masses are celebrating the annual Thanksgiving holiday tradition. In the past, the holiday has acted as a catalyst for the final phase of the Bitcoin bull run.

To celebrate the holiday and the ongoing cryptocurrency bull cycle, we are looking back at the history of Bitcoin price action over the years to try to predict what is to come next.

Please Pass The Bitcoin

The tradition of Thanksgiving began in 1619, which celebrated the annual harvest ahead of colder winter months. Rather than allow crops to spoil, there was a large feast that sometimes lasted days.

The tradition today is commonly centered around a turkey dinner, with stuffing, mashed potatoes, gravy, and pumpkin pie. Dinner table discussions range from tender to tense, depending on the family unit.

Such dinner table conversations in the past have possibly had an impact on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, with the holiday always occurring near important culmination points in price cycles.

To celebrate in a very NewsBTC way, we’ve taken a deep dive into the history of holiday and the effect it’s had on price action. The results are quite interesting, and something BTC holders might want to give thanks for.

Past tops and bottoms have been within 48 days of Thanksgiving  | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Thanksgiving Proximity To Peaks Give Holders Something To Celebrate

Dating back as far as the Bitcoin price index will run, we’ve added a pumpkin-colored vertical line to represent each Thanksgiving to the day.

The proximity of Thanksgiving to important pivot points in Bitcoin market structure is undeniable. The holiday appears close to most major bull market peaks and bear troughs.

In fact, five out of five major Bitcoin tops and bottoms have appeared within 48 days of Thanksgiving. Four out of five of these same tops and bottoms have occurred within 24 days of Thanksgiving. Finally, two out of five tops and bottoms appear to coincide with the holiday itself.

In 2017, Thanksgiving dinner table talk was less focused on “pass the gravy” and instead discussed “which coins to buy.” 24 days following Thanksgiving that year, Bitcoin rallied 150% from $8,000 to $20,000, putting in the bull market peak. The following Thanksgiving was within just 24 days to the bear market bottom.

24 days from today and 150% would put the top cryptocurrency by market cap at around $144,000 on approximately December 19, 2021. Currently, there is more data to suggest that this could happen again than information to suggest otherwise. Is this the type of harvest crypto holders should expect with the US holiday here? If that’s the case, the Thanksgiving theme is appropriate, as it will be the last major harvest before a very cold crypto winter.

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.