Massive Bearish Divergence Hints At First Major Chainlink Corrective Phase

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Chainlink was among the first cryptocurrency to set a new all-time high in 2020, but given its absence during the 2017 peak was facing different circumstances and no overhead resistance. The altcoin was nearly unaffected entirely by the bear market over the last couple of years, breaking record after record.

However, a massive bearish divergence has formed as the unstoppable cryptocurrency touches an ascending trendline for the third time. Could this be the start of the altcoin’s first extended bear phase? Or are bulls preparing a much stronger push to finally blast through the long-term trendline?

Chainlink At Risk Of First Major Corrective Phase, According To Bear Div

In 2017, Bitcoin’s meteoric rise and the explosion of ICOs built on Ethereum put the cryptocurrency asset class on the map. But after a storm of exuberance and parabolic price action, the bubble burst and these assets came crashing down by as much as 90% or more in many cases.

Even the crypto asset with the most longevity, Bitcoin, fell a full 84% from high to low, resulting in a three year bear market. During that time, however, Chainlink made its debut in the crypto space, and its been on an unstoppable uptrend ever since.

The altcoin rose from nearly worthless to over $25 recently at its 2021 peak. Chainlink went from being born during a bear market, to hitting all-time highs left and right even before a bull market was confirmed.

Since things turned bullish, even Chainlink joined in Bitcoin and Ethereum and set yet another record peak. The entire market has once again turned back down, but the soaring altcoin remains near 2021 highs.

$LINK, 🧐 pic.twitter.com/bKsLeUgnsi

— ᴀʟᴛꜱᴛʀᴇᴇᴛ ʙᴇᴛꜱ (@AltstreetBet) January 25, 2021

Bearish Divergence, Or Are Bulls Baiting For The Next Move Up?

The recent push to $25 per token, has resulted in a massive bearish divergence on the weekly Relative Strength Index, spanning across the current peak and the 2020 high of $20, according to one crypto trader.

Coinciding with the bearish technical signal, is a more three-year long trendline that has acted as the top to every major rally. The chart below shows the long-term trendline on the LINKUSDT trading pair on Binance more clearly.

A massive bearish divergence spans across two years of LINKUSDT price action  | Source:  LINKUSDT on TradingView.com

Bearish divergences appear when price action sets a higher high, but a technical indicator on the same timeframe chart makes a lower low. It often suggests that although prices are reaching new highs, the underlying buying pressure is lower than during the first peak.

The weakness results in bears taking over, and forcing prices lower. Bearish divergences often appear at the top of a trend, but are difficult to act on.

Bearish divergences are only confirmed once price action has turned down. The lack of a higher high on a technical indicator could merely be due to the fact the bullish move is only yet just beginning. Taking a position in a long up-trending altcoin due to a bearish divergence could lead to any missing out on any additional legs up that might follow.

Given Chainlink’s long-term momentum, the bearish divergence – if invalidated – could supply the momentum needed for a much stronger push higher.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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