Bitcoin Hits $90K Milestone—Is A Path to $100K On The Horizon? Analyst Weighs In

Samuel Edyme

7 months ago

3 mins read

Bitcoin Hits $90K Milestone—Is a Path to $100K on the Horizon? Analyst Weighs In

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Bitcoin has reached a major milestone by surpassing the $90,000 price mark, marking a significant moment in its ongoing bullish rally. The price surge has drawn the attention of existing investors and attracted a new wave of market participants.

This influx is evidenced by the increase in UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) Age Bands. This metric tracks the distribution of Bitcoin holdings by age, according to an analysis shared by CryptoQuant analyst Shiven Moodley. This development reflects heightened interest and engagement in the Bitcoin market.

Moodley’s analysis revealed that a high percentage of market participants are currently profitable, as indicated by the UTXO profit percentage metric.

However, despite this strong market performance, long-term holders appear to maintain their positions even as the derivatives market becomes increasingly leveraged.

Profitability Metrics Signal Market Momentum

One of the key insights highlighted by Moodley is the positive Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). This indicator suggests that many Bitcoin transactions are occurring at a profit, reflecting an optimistic market sentiment and providing a foundation for potential further price increases.

However, Moodley pointed to a developing “mania phase” in the market, evidenced by the growing number of options market call contracts set to expire over the next two months.

This surge in call contracts indicates that many traders are betting on continued upward momentum, potentially driving further speculative activity.

The CryptoQuant analyst also discussed the implications of probability models that track Bitcoin’s price movements over time. According to these models, with a lag of 500 days, Bitcoin has breached two standard deviations at the $90,000 level.

The next significant price marker, represented by the third standard deviation, according to Moodley is currently projected to be around $101,000. This suggests that, while Bitcoin’s current upward trajectory is notable, the potential for further price gains remains.

Bitcoin Market Performance

Bitcoin appears to be now seeing a cool off in its recent bullish momentum. Particularly, following a consistent week of new highs reaching a peak of $93,477 yesterday, BTC has since faced a major pullback in price, bringing its price to trade as low as below $89,000, as of today.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView — BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, the asset currently trades for $88,878, down by 2.9% in the past day. Regardless, BTC seems to still be in an uptrend with a past week performance of nearly 20%.

Notably, while the market environment still reflects strong bullish sentiment, there are risks to be aware of. As highlighted by Moodley, the increased leverage in the derivatives market, combined with rising call options activity, could lead to heightened volatility in the BTC market.

Overleveraged markets are historically prone to corrections, especially when market sentiment shifts rapidly. Therefore, while many market participants may currently be in profit, maintaining caution is worth considering.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname - HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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