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Bitcoin Top Indicator Says It’s Not Over Yet As Parabola Signals Fail

Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson
1 month ago
4 mins read
Bitcoin

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Despite price pullbacks and recent market volatility, a crypto analyst has predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) may still have room for another parabolic rally. The analyst cited historically reliable top indicators that suggest that the market has not reached its top yet, even as parabolic signals fail to trigger a surge. 

No Sign Of A Bitcoin Cycle Top — Yet

In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), market expert Crypto Con shared a comprehensive technical analysis rooted in the well-regarded top Bitcoin cycle indicators developed by DA_Prof. The accompanying chart revealed that Bitcoin’s current market trajectory has yet to reach the “cycle top” zone — a region that has consistently coincided with major market peaks in the past. 

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Da Prof’s technical indicator model synthesizes insights from thirteen time-tested on-chain and market metrics. This multifactor approach has successfully predicted past cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021, making it a valuable tool in potentially identifying long-term market turning points. 

Bitcoin
Source: Crypto Con on X

According to Crypto Con, Bitcoin’s current price action and technical readings suggest that the flagship cryptocurrency may still be preparing for a final ATH rally. The analyst asserts that any potential cycle peak in 2025 will likely emerge only when Bitcoin enters a critical zone identified through the convergence of these thirteen advanced indicators. 

The metrics utilized in Da Prof’s indicator model include:

  • Coin Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) Extension
  • Net Unrealized Profit-Loss (NUPL)
  • Market Value-Realized Value Z-score (MVRVZ)
  • Calendar Seasonality (CSI: top near November 21)
  • Puell Multiple (PUELL)
  • Halving Seasonality (HSI: top near 538 days after halving event)
  • Logue PolyLog Regression (PLR)
  • Realized Price (RP) Extension
  • Plus Directional Movement (PDM)
  • Logarithmic MACD (LMACD)
  • Pi Cycle Top (PCT)
  • Transaction Fee Spike (TFS)
  • Risk

Crypto Con noted that historically, when these indicators converged in the red-hot region, represented by the cluster of indicators in the lower heatmap section of the chart, the Bitcoin price experienced a dramatic peak followed by a significant crash. 

However, in the current cycle, none of Da Prof’s metrics have entered the zone. Instead, the readings across the lower bands of the model remain comparatively muted, suggesting that market euphoria has not yet reached past-cycle extremes. 

Parabola Signals Flash Early, But No Peak In Sight

While Da Prof’s top Bitcoin indicators remain elusive, Parabola signals, another key feature of Crypto Con’s analysis, have flashed not once but three times in this cycle. These signals are historically linked with the early stages of Bitcoin’s explosive price rallies experienced during the previous bull markets. 

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Yet despite these alerts, Bitcoin has failed to enter a true parabolic breakout phase so far in 2025. Crypto Con has indicated that the May 2025 parabola signal is especially notable, as it coincides with Bitcoin crossing the indicator’s Parabolic Boundary. 

This breach, paired with the absence of Da Prof’s indicator stack, creates an unusual setup. Emphasizing this anomaly, Crypto Con posed a rhetorical question: “No cycle top + parabola signal = ?” —- hinting that Bitcoin’s true bullish climax may still be ahead.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $106,409 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson is a prominent crypto writer at NewsBTC with a knack for capturing the pulse of the market, covering pivotal shifts, technological advancements, and regulatory changes with precision. Having witnessed the evolving landscape of the crypto world firsthand, Scott is able to dissect complex crypto topics and present them in an accessible and engaging manner. Scott's dedication to clarity and accuracy has made him an indispensable asset, helping to demystify the complex world of cryptocurrency for countless readers.

Read more

Scott’s experience spans a number of industries outside of crypto including banking and investment. He has brought his vast experience from these industries into crypto, which allows him to understand even the most complex topics and break them down in a way that is easy for readers from all works of life to understand. Scott’s pieces have helped to break down cryptocurrency processes and how they work, as well as the underlying groundbreaking technology that makes them so important to everyday life.

With years of experience in the crypto market, Scott began to focus on his true passion: writing. During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others.

Scott’s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott’s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry.

Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors.
In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else.

Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies.

Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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