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Dogecoin Danger: A Dip Under $0.16 Could Trigger A 30% Crash—Analyst

Christian Encila
Christian Encila
Last Updated: June 19, 2025 1:00 am
3 mins read
Dogecoin

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Dogecoin’s price is back at a crucial line. It’s testing the $0.168 area for a second time since mid‑April. A clear break could send the meme coin spinning lower. Bulls and bears are watching every tick.

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Key Support Under Scrutiny

According to crypto expert Ali Charts, Dogecoin fell roughly 30% from its mid‑May high. That slide brought it down to the same $0.168 mark that held as support last April.

If prices drop below that level on a weekly close, there are hardly any bids to slow the fall. Below $0.168 lies what traders call a “gap area,” where past buying activity was sparse. That could open the door to steeper losses and fast moves.

Cup And Handle Pattern

Based on reports, the current chart forms part of a four‑year cup‑and‑handle setup. The lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle sits right where the handle meets its cup. A clean break above the triangle’s upper trendline would point to a target near $0.75.

#Dogecoin $DOGE must hold above $0.168 to avoid a 30% price drop! pic.twitter.com/PDhqo7fpcK

— Ali (@ali_charts) June 15, 2025

That projection comes from the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the cup’s depth. Hitting $0.75 would mean a 350% gain from today’s levels.

Momentum Indicators Signal Weakness

Momentum readings have lost much of their shine. After a brief golden cross in May, the 50‑day moving average slipped under the 200‑day in early June. The MACD line is widening beneath its signal, hinting at longer‑term selling pressure.

The RSI sits at 42, under the neutral 50 mark, and drifting lower. Under 50 on the RSI often points to more sellers than buyers. With those readings turning sour, bulls need a strong bounce around $0.168 to stay alive.

DOGE is currently trading at $0.16. Chart: TradingView

ETF Decision Could Swing Sentiment

All eyes now turn to June 15, when US regulators may rule on a spot Dogecoin ETF. Approval would let traditional money flow in from big funds.

A thumbs‑down or a delay, on the other hand, could spark fresh sell‑offs. That decision could make or break the next leg of Dogecoin’s move.

Source: CoinCodex

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According to CoinCodex data, Dogecoin has recorded 13 out of 30 green days over the past month, with price swings of about 10.57% on average.

Their forecast pegs DOGE at $ 0.20 by July 18, a 17% rise from current levels. Market sentiment sits in the neutral zone, and on‑chain signals aren’t flashing clear buy or sell warnings.

This week’s action around $0.168 will tell us if Dogecoin can steady itself. Holders and traders should watch volume, weekly closes, and that looming ETF call. If support holds, we may see a rebound.

If it breaks, lower levels could come into view fast. Either way, Dogecoin is at a make‑or‑break moment—and everyone will be listening for the next big clue.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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Christian Encila
Christian Encila

Christian Encila

Christian Encila is a journalist, editor, crypto analyst, and virtual assistant focused on storytelling, financial markets, and digital media. He blends strong writing skills with in-depth analysis, turning complex information into clear, accessible insights.

Read more

His writing began in college as a feature writer for his school publication, building research and storytelling skills. He later worked as an editor at a data engineering firm, gaining recognition for writing and discipline.

He expanded internationally in Canada and South Korea, then returned to the Philippines for a decade in a major newsroom. There he became a senior news writer and editor, simplifying complex topics for broad audiences.

He later moved into cryptocurrency journalism as a crypto analyst and market expert at NewsBTC, covering trends and blockchain developments. Alongside writing, he works as a Virtual Assistant supporting editorial operations, workflows, and coordination tasks.

Outside work, he enjoys motorbikes, riding a Yamaha R3, preferring relaxed coastal rides. He spends time with two cats and a dog, and unwinds with coffee, Filipino food, and occasional rum while watching comedy films.

His career blends journalism, analysis, and support roles, reflecting adaptability across media, markets, and digital content production in modern newsroom environments and remote work settings globally.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
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How Our News is Made

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