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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Analyst: Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model Continue’s to Hold, Now It’s Your Turn

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
5 years ago
2 mins read
bitcoin stock to flow hold hodl

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Bitcoin is currently struggling to stay above $5,000, when just a couple weeks prior, the asset was trading above $10,000 – over double the current price.

But despite the latest fall, the asset’s highly-cited stock-to-flow model focusing on the asset’s hard-coded scarcity continues to hold. With the model still intact, it may now be time for crypto investors to hold for the long haul.

Bitcoin Bloodbath Can’t Disrupt Stock-t0-Flow Model

The first-ever cryptocurrency is having a majorly bad week.

As coronavirus concerns continue to mount, the world is in turmoil and markets are collapsing. Not even save haven assets like gold or silver are safe from the carnage.

Related Reading | Silver, Gold and Bitcoin: Even Safe Haven Assets Cannot Withstand The Coronavirus 

Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market were his especially hard, as the high risk, speculative asset class struggles with liquidity and by lacking fundamental value is more susceptible to investor sentiment.

That sentiment is in extreme fear after this week’s drop in combination with a global pandemic and possible recession.

Bitcoin fell from over $10,000 in February, to a low of $3,800 as of the time of this writing. And while the impact of the virus not slowing down and a vaccine still weeks if not months or even a year away, things may not turn around soon.

But regardless of the chaos and resulting selloff, Bitcoin continues to follow the stock-to-flow model.

The current price is well within the deviation range the model suggests.

1.5T dollars injected into the markets by fed.

Steady slow grind up for #Bitcoin over next 200 days.

Those that hold will be rewarded. S2F model held up. pic.twitter.com/En6afVCFwd

— Jason A. Williams (@GoingParabolic) March 13, 2020

Can The Halving Save Crypto From The Recession?

The stock-to-flow model uses a formula to derive potential price and value from Bitcoin, based on the asset’s limited supply.

Each Bitcoin halving cuts that supply in half, hence the name.

Because the supply is reduced, supply and demand balance is thrown off and in the past caused Bitcoin to explode in value.

While the same thing was expected again this May, when the next halving hits, the coronavirus is making things difficult.

However, if the stock-to-flow model continues to hold, it may be time for crypto investors to do so as well. The model puts Bitcoin valuations at over $55,000 shortly after May, simply based on the lowered supply alone.

Related Reading | Recent Bitcoin Price Action Isn’t Radical According to Serious Valuation Models 

Supply and demand dynamics may take over, it could cause the cryptocurrency to start its next bull run, even in the face of the greatest recession the world may ever witness.

Bitcoin was born from the last recession and was built to withstand future recessions. With the first one potentially here at the hands of a pandemic, it’s time for Bitcoin to prove itself and this stock-to-flow model to do so as well.

Featured image from Shutterstock
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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