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bitcoin stock to flow hold hodl
Nexo Logo

Analyst: Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model Continue’s to Hold, Now It’s Your Turn

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
2 years ago
in Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency news
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Bitcoin is currently struggling to stay above $5,000, when just a couple weeks prior, the asset was trading above $10,000 – over double the current price.

But despite the latest fall, the asset’s highly-cited stock-to-flow model focusing on the asset’s hard-coded scarcity continues to hold. With the model still intact, it may now be time for crypto investors to hold for the long haul.

Bitcoin Bloodbath Can’t Disrupt Stock-t0-Flow Model

The first-ever cryptocurrency is having a majorly bad week.

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As coronavirus concerns continue to mount, the world is in turmoil and markets are collapsing. Not even save haven assets like gold or silver are safe from the carnage.

Related Reading | Silver, Gold and Bitcoin: Even Safe Haven Assets Cannot Withstand The Coronavirus 

Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market were his especially hard, as the high risk, speculative asset class struggles with liquidity and by lacking fundamental value is more susceptible to investor sentiment.

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That sentiment is in extreme fear after this week’s drop in combination with a global pandemic and possible recession.

Bitcoin fell from over $10,000 in February, to a low of $3,800 as of the time of this writing. And while the impact of the virus not slowing down and a vaccine still weeks if not months or even a year away, things may not turn around soon.

But regardless of the chaos and resulting selloff, Bitcoin continues to follow the stock-to-flow model.

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The current price is well within the deviation range the model suggests.

1.5T dollars injected into the markets by fed.

Steady slow grind up for #Bitcoin over next 200 days.

Those that hold will be rewarded. S2F model held up. pic.twitter.com/En6afVCFwd

— Jason Williams ? (@JWilliamsFstmed) March 13, 2020

Can The Halving Save Crypto From The Recession?

The stock-to-flow model uses a formula to derive potential price and value from Bitcoin, based on the asset’s limited supply.

Each Bitcoin halving cuts that supply in half, hence the name.

Because the supply is reduced, supply and demand balance is thrown off and in the past caused Bitcoin to explode in value.

While the same thing was expected again this May, when the next halving hits, the coronavirus is making things difficult.

However, if the stock-to-flow model continues to hold, it may be time for crypto investors to do so as well. The model puts Bitcoin valuations at over $55,000 shortly after May, simply based on the lowered supply alone.

Related Reading | Recent Bitcoin Price Action Isn’t Radical According to Serious Valuation Models 

Supply and demand dynamics may take over, it could cause the cryptocurrency to start its next bull run, even in the face of the greatest recession the world may ever witness.

Bitcoin was born from the last recession and was built to withstand future recessions. With the first one potentially here at the hands of a pandemic, it’s time for Bitcoin to prove itself and this stock-to-flow model to do so as well.

Featured image from Shutterstock
Tags: bitcoincryptorecessionstock to flow
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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