Bitcoin Bulls Bring Out Hammer Of Thor Reversal, But Support Must Hold

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin price is back now at the mid $30,000 range after a quick plunge below $30,000 support this week. The short lived dip below support finally resulted in a worthwhile bounce, leaving behind a reversal signal that in the past has had god-like results.

If crypto bulls can hold at current prices by the time the weekly candle closes, a larger upward move could be on the horizon.

Bitcoin Price Forms Bullish Reversal Signal On Weekly

The wild returns across crypto in 2021 are now a distant memory, having every last penny of the Bitcoin bull run from January 1 forward wiped out in the most recent drop below support.

For months now $30,000 has held as support. But bears were able to push the price of the leading cryptocurrency by market cap to the yearly open at $28,800.

It was at that significant support level that Bitcoin bounced, and bulls were finally able to gain some momentum over the last few days.

The respectable attempt by bulls to resume the greater bull rally could hold, now that a bullish hammer reversal has formed on the weekly chart. For the signal to be valid, Bitcoin would need to close the weekly at $34,500 or higher.

A hammer reversal candlestick has preceded each bullish impulse so far | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Dropping The Hammer On Bears: The Reversal Signal Explored

A hammer is a single Japanese candlestick that shows an extremely bearish move that was essentially blocked by bulls. Support was breached, but bulls kept on buying anyway – leaving a long wick or hammer handle below what’s left of the candle body or head.

A single candle might seem insignificant as a signal, but in the past, it was the past things bears saw before Bitcoin went on a tear. This third hammer since the bear market bottom, could put the final nail in bear’s coffins.

Each previous hammer marked a major bullish impulse brewing in Bitcoin, and each time the LMACD – a momentum indicator was red on the histogram, but ready to turn upward.

The lagging indicator eventually crosses bullish and the top cryptocurrency goes on a few hundred percent rally – rinse and repeat. After one of the worst monthly “rinses” on record, the market is cleansed of leverage and it could keep the crypto cycle going a while long if there’s another bullish crossover.

As the chart above shows, hammers on the weekly have a lot of clout, however, they have also failed in the past. There’s a green hammer – slightly different from those outlined in boxes – when Bitcoin touched $6,000 in late 2019. However, this false bottom led to Black Thursday, where there was no such signals in sight. It wasn’t again until Bitcoin held a retest of $10,000 that the next hammer formed and another impulse began.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

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Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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