Bitcoin Futures Bull Div Could Offer Crystal Ball Into Next Leg Up

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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The Chicago Mercantile Exchange more commonly referred to as CME, offers the de-facto futures contracts for Bitcoin since the end of the last bull market. But could the forward-looking price action also offer a potential glimpse into the future of what’s to come?

If this crystal ball works, the last leg up could be about to begin, and it could start with a simple bullish divergence.

Seeing Into Bitcoin’s Future With CME

CME is the top BTC futures exchange for institutional traders, and often a dominant force in the market. So dominant, that if any gaps are left behind over the weekend on the CME chart after the trading desk goes offline, they often get filled within the next week with a high degree of accuracy.

These sort of breakaway gaps are common with speculative assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Not all such gaps eventually get filled, but their importance is undeniable.

Recently, the CME chart has begun to diverge ever so slightly from the price action on spot exchanges, enough to take notice. Just recently, a lack of a momentum crossover on the daily timeframe led to a nasty fakeout while CME was offline. The bullish crossover never existed on CME, so there was less bait for institutions to fall for.

Now, the CME futures platform could be offering a potential future look at the next leg up.

CME is showing a bullish divergence and a potential break of momentum | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Last Leg Of Bull Run Begins With Flag To $82,000

There is yet another divergence to be seen on the CME BTC futures chart – a bullish divergence on the daily RSI, that closely matches the signal that sent Bitcoin flying last September.

A corresponding downtrend on the LMACD – depicting downward momentum – is waiting to be broken. If a similar breakout of momentum is to follow, the final leg up of the bull market could follow.

This potential bull flag has a target of $82,000 | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

These signals on their own prove very little, and divergences are only confirmed in hindsight. However, the massive bull flag with a target of $82,000 could eventually act as all the proof necessary.

A breakout of the bull flag pattern still could come with several retests of the top trend line, so more sideways is possible before upside ever materializes. Of course, given how extreme the recent selloff was and the still lingering fear due to Evergrande, the recent bounce might not be as bullish as crypto holders would hope.

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or via the TonyTradesBTC Telegram. Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice.

Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

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Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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