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Breaking News: Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady, Bitcoin Awaits Trend Reversal Above $27,000
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Breaking News: Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady, Bitcoin Awaits Trend Reversal Above $27,000
bitcoin monthly trading volume
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Bitcoin Monthly Volume Signals Consolidation Not Bullish Reversal, Data Shows

Tony "The Bull" by Tony "The Bull"
4 years ago
in Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency Market News
Reading Time: 3 mins read

Bitcoin price closed its February monthly candle below $9,400, after a massive surge in January that took the price of the first-ever cryptocurrency from $6,800 to nearly $10,000.

The massive move in January appeared to be the start of a new bull market trend, but the devastating crash on the heels of coronavirus pandemic proliferation panic has increased fears that another bear market may be starting across the asset class. However, according to volume data, both months are more than likely nothing but consolidation ahead of the real reversal.

February Monthly Candle Closes Bearish, Clamors Crypto Traders

Following a 60% rise in the first two months of the year, crypto investors had been fully confident that a new bull market had begun, and the rally was just the start of the surge ahead of the upcoming Bitcoin halving this May.

Related Reading | Bitcoin To Explode By 80% Before Halving According to Past Cycle Comparison 

But during the last week of February, just as coronavirus fears reached crisis mode and caused the worst stock market crash since the economic recession occurred, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies also had a cataclysmic collapse.

Bitcoin, which had been trading at highs of over $10,000 – a key psychological level – fell in dramatic fashion, reaching $8,400 at its recent low before making an attempt to bounce higher.

The fall turned a bullish February price candlestick into an extremely bearish one. The monthly close being so “bad” was the talk of the cryptocurrency community over the weekend, comparing it to the “top” candle back in July of 2019.

The two candles look strikingly similar, however, volume tells a very different story.

$BTC #Bitcoin – Have heard much talk about how bad the monthly candle was. Always look at the volume on each candle because it determines the strength of the signal

Compare this months volume to similar candle from July 19th

This is a consolidation candle, not reversal candle pic.twitter.com/JRxSiDz8m0

— Cheds (@BigCheds) February 29, 2020

Bitcoin Volume Points To Consolidation, Not Yet Ready For Reversal

Volume is often more important than price action itself, as, without volume to support a movement, any price action is likely highly manipulated and unsustainable.

A surge in volume accompanying a surge in price is typically indicative of a full-scale trend reversal. It’s also the major difference between the July 2019 monthly candle and the current February 2020 close.

In July 2019, the candle closed alongside a massive boost in trading volume, suggesting an extreme amount of Bitcoin changed hands during this timeframe.

The high volume reversal sent Bitcoin back into a bear trend for the last eight months, which it is still struggling to break free from.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Bearish Sell Pressure Is Waning Despite Aggressive Selloff 

But until Bitcoin paints a high timeframe bullish candle that arrives with a massive spike in trading volume, Bitcoin is likely to remain in a bear trend.

It’s worth noting that bearish trading volume has been waning over the last two years, so that full reversal into a bull market may not be too far off at this point.

Tags: bitcoincryptomonthlyvolume
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Tony "The Bull"

Tony "The Bull"

Tony is the “always-on” Editorial Director and Head of Research at NewsBTC, leading a talented team of writers and editors across several different global time zones. Tony is also the founder of CoinChartist.io – an educational website focused on crypto trading. Partners include Elliott Wave International, TradingView, and more. Tony’s background includes an extensive, award-winning media production career and over fifteen years of publishing operations and management. In the past, Tony has founded several media websites and his content has been read billions of times. Past clients include the BBC, Fidelity, and many others. Tony "The Bull" is a level 3 CMT student (passed level 1 & 2), technical analyst, Bitcoin supporter, and avid speculator. He owns a python named Satoshi. Tony longs for the day when money is separated from the state. Tony is deeply fascinated by core market principles such as Elliott Wave Theory as they tie into mathematics like Fibonacci ratios. Market timing though DeMark indicators, Ichimoku, Gann tools, or Hurst Cycle Theory are also of key interest. Tony provides completely original content driven by exclusive, independent research. For more insights and education from Tony, check out his free TonyTradesBTC Telegram channel. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC on Twitter. You can also follow @CoinChartist_io on Twitter and subscribe on YouTube.

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