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Breaking News: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP In Freefall: What’s Driving The Current Crypto Slump?
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Breaking News: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP In Freefall: What’s Driving The Current Crypto Slump?

Bitcoin Volatility Shrinks To Historical Levels, Violent Move Incoming?

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
1 year ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin

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Data shows that Bitcoin volatility is currently at historically low levels, something that has led to violent price moves in the past.

Bitcoin 7-Day Range Has Compressed To Just 3.4% Recently

According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Glassnsode, the current 7-day price range is comparable to levels seen back in January of this year. The “7-day price range” of Bitcoin here refers to the percentage difference between the highest and the lowest points that the asset’s value has observed during the last seven days.

This metric can provide hints about the recent volatility that the cryptocurrency has experienced. When the indicator has a low value, it means the price action during the last week has been quite stale. Naturally, this suggests that the volatility of the asset is low right now.

On the other hand, high values of the 7-day price range imply the coin has seen a high degree of fluctuation within the past seven days, and hence, the volatility has been high.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin 7-day price range (as well as the 7-day high and low) over the last few years:

Bitcoin 7-day Volatility

The value of the metric seems to have been quite low in recent days | Source: Glassnode on Twitter

As shown in the above graph, the Bitcoin 7-day price range had naturally succumbed to quite low values during the bear market lows that had followed the FTX crash, as the BTC price had been stuck in a sideways movement.

These low values of the indicator continued into the new year as the coin refused to show any significant movement. Soon after, however, the metric’s value had seen an explosion as the rally had begun to take place.

In the next few months, the 7-day price range of the cryptocurrency had assumed relatively high values, but recently, the indicator has observed another plummet.

The reason behind this new plunge has naturally been the narrow consolidation range that the asset has followed in the past week between the $27,400 and $26,500 levels.

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Because of this low volatility, the 7-day price range of Bitcoin has collapsed to only 3.4%. In the chart, Glassnode has also highlighted the previous instances where the cryptocurrency had seen this metric drop so low.

It looks like the indicator dipped to similar levels way back in July 2020, and the aforementioned lows from the start of the year had also observed the indicator attain such values.

An interesting thing to note about both these periods of low volatility is that the price had gone on to see rapid price action not too long after they occurred, and the former low was followed by the 2021 bull run, while the ongoing rally succeeded the latter one.

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If the current compressed 7-day Bitcoin price range will follow a similar pattern, then some wild price action may be coming for the cryptocurrency in the near future.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $26,800, down 2% in the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Looks like BTC has been moving sideways in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Maxim Hopman on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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